The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Peterborough Petes 54.3%
Draw 20.1%
Sudbury Wolves 25.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.9%
20.3%
25.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.3%
21.3%
27.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peterborough Petes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Sudbury Wolves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peterborough Petes than the current prediction. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sudbury Wolves than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Rye E. (G)
29. Frasca P. (G)
15. Cameron C. (C)
72. Bennett B.
91. DiCunzolo G.
44. Berehowsky D.
28. Faulkner B.
93. Blonda L.
8. Frazer G.
26. Chovan J.
19. Hammond B.
19. Clayton B.
4. Hartnell C.
9. Coughlan C. (A)
12. Kolarik L.
11. Dean E.
44. Lutz Y.
24. Doucet H.
16. Novotny A.
7. Ewles G.
18. Parish F.
84. Gonchar A.
11. Partridge B.
77. Henderson R. (A)
72. Perreault M.
2. Kearns F.
92. Soto M.
81. Kostuch C.
6. Strohack G.
66. Lemieux J.
20. Thatcher K.
13. Martin H.
22. Walton K.
71. Nemec A.
26. Young A. (A)
4. O'Dell T.
97. Provorov V.
88. Ula G.
Substitutes
34. Johnston M. (G)
31. Bronas B. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (3 - 0)
01:23, 1 - 0, Young A. (G), Walton K. (A),
16:30, 2 - 0, Cameron C. (G), Lutz Y. (A), Kolarik L. (A2)
19:44, 3 - 0, Cameron C. (G),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
13:17, 3 - 1, Chovan J. (G), Lemieux J. (A), Gonchar A. (A2)
15:49, 4 - 1, Kolarik L. (G), Hammond B. (A), Perreault M. (A2)
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peterborough won 3.
In recent matches, Peterborough has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Sudbury has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Peterborough may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Peterborough is a strong favorite.
We predict that Peterborough will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Peterborough won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 65:64. (average 3.3:3.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Peterborough won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:27. (average 2.8:2.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Sudbury Wolves - the odds 3.57 are the expected chance of winning is 25.8%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.