The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sudbury Wolves 20.7%
Draw 18.9%
Windsor Spitfires 60.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.4%
19.8%
56.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.5%
20.8%
54.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sudbury Wolves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
Windsor Spitfires has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sudbury Wolves than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Windsor Spitfires than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Windsor Spitfires, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Bronas B. (G)
33. Costanzo J. (G)
72. Bennett B.
61. Belchetz E.
44. Berehowsky D.
5. Brown J.
93. Blonda L.
44. Cristoforo A. (A)
26. Chovan J.
78. Davis C.
19. Clayton B.
7. Fibigr J.
9. Coughlan C. (A)
77. Garden E.
11. Dean E.
19. Gaymes N.
24. Doucet H.
66. Greentree L. (C)
7. Ewles G.
11. Harvey C.
84. Gonchar A.
2. Kennedy W.
77. Henderson R. (A)
80. Makysh B.
81. Kostuch C.
17. McLaughlin J.
66. Lemieux J.
71. Nesbitt J. (A)
13. Martin H.
72. Pharand A.
71. Nemec A.
27. Robinson A.
4. O'Dell T.
8. Spellacy A. (A)
97. Provorov V.
89. Villeneuve N.
57. Smith B.
28. Walton C.
88. Ula G.
24. Woodall C.
Substitutes
29. Frasca P. (G)
30. Newlove M. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
12:13, 0 - 1, Greentree L. (G), Villeneuve N. (A), Woodall C. (A2)
15:05, 0 - 2, Pharand A. (G), Greentree L. (A), Brown J. (A2)
19:03, 1 - 2, Ula G. (G),
3rd Period (1 - 3)
03:58, 1 - 3, Cristoforo A. (G), Belchetz E. (A), Villeneuve N. (A2)
08:12, 2 - 3, Nemec A. (G), O'Dell T. (A), Ula G. (A2)
14:03, 2 - 4, Nesbitt J. (G), Robinson A. (A), Spellacy A. (A2)
18:37, 2 - 5, Woodall C. (G), Cristoforo A. (A), Greentree L. (A2)
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sudbury won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Sudbury may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Windsor is seen as the favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sudbury won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 65:92. (average 3.3:4.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Sudbury won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 38:37. (average 3.8:3.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Windsor Spitfires - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 56.72%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.