Match Info

NHL

Date: 11 December 2025, Thursday

Location: Xfinity Mobile Arena (Philadelphia, PA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay, V Sport Live 2
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport Live 2
Iceland	Viaplay
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Live 2
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Philadelphia Flyers		Vegas Golden Knights

	1	X	2
	3.1	4	2.05	Watch
	2.96	4.28	2.08
	2.95	4.4	2.12
	2.93	4.41	2.06	Watch
	3	4.33	2.1
	3	4.52	2.1
	3	4	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↓ (3.07)	4.28 ↓ (4.36)	2.09 ↑ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Philadelphia Flyers
31.9%

Draw
22.3%

Vegas Golden Knights
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

21.7%

47.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

20.8%

49.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Philadelphia Flyers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Vegas Golden Knights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Flyers than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vegas Golden Knights than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

Philadelphia Flyers - Vegas Golden Knights Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Philadelphia will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Vegas will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Philadelphia (votes: 1 - 50%). Vegas (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
80. Vladar D. (G)	40. Schmid A. (G)
6. Sanheim T. (A)	27. Theodore S.
24. Seeler N.	3. McNabb B. (A)
11. Konecny T. (A)	42. Bowman B.
22. Dvorak C.	9. Eichel J. (A)
46. Zegras T.	49. Barbashev I.
Line 2
9. Drysdale J.	2. Whitecloud Z.
36. Andrae E.	15. Hanifin N.
74. Tippett O.	61. Stone M. (C)
14. Couturier S. (C)	21. Howden B.
39. Michkov M.	93. Marner M.
Line 3
47. Juulsen N.	6. Korczak K.
96. Murchison T.	17. Hutton B.
10. Brink B.	16. Dorofeyev P.
27. Cates N.	48. Hertl T.
29. Grebyonkin N.	19. Smith R.
Line 4
19. Hathaway G.	55. Kolesar K.
18. Abols R.	10. Sissons C.
91. Grundstrom C.	23. Reinhardt C.
Substitutes
33. Ersson S. (G)	79. Hart C. (G)
Coaches
. Tocchet R.	. Cassidy B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
06:07, 0 - 1, Whitecloud Z. (G), Barbashev I. (A), Bowman B. (A2)
16:11, 1 - 1, Zegras T. (G), Sanheim T. (A), Dvorak C. (A2)
19:43, Barbashev I. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
03:34, Grundstrom C. (2 min),
12:05, (2 min),
12:53, 1 - 2, Stone M. (G), Dorofeyev P. (A), Eichel J. (A2)
13:32, Dorofeyev P. (2 min),
16:08, 2 - 2, Juulsen N. (G), Dvorak C. (A), Grundstrom C. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
15:12, Howden B. (2 min),
Overtime (0 - 1)
02:47, 2 - 3, Stone M. (G), Eichel J. (A),

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 1.

Philadelphia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Vegas is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Vegas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Philadelphia has had a series of home games.

Vegas could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Philadelphia: Foerster T. (Upper-Body Injury) Ristolainen R. (Hand Injury) York C. (Upper-Body Injury)

There will not play in Vegas: Hill A. (Lower-Body Injury) Karlsson W. (Lower-Body Injury) Lauzon J. (Injury) Pietrangelo A. (Hip Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 43:41. (average 3.1:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Philadelphia won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:20. (average 3:2.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Philadelphia Flyers - the odds 3.07 are the expected chance of winning is 30.8%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Philadelphia Flyers
NHL
09.12.25	Philadelphia Flyers - San Jose Sharks	4:1 ✺
07.12.25	Philadelphia Flyers - Colorado Avalanche	2:3 ✺
03.12.25	Philadelphia Flyers - Buffalo Sabres	5:2 ✺
01.12.25	Philadelphia Flyers - Pittsburgh Penguins	1:5 ✺
29.11.25	New Jersey Devils - Philadelphia Flyers	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLWLW
- Vegas Golden Knights
NHL
09.12.25	New York Islanders - Vegas Golden Knights	5:4 penalties ✺
07.12.25	New York Rangers - Vegas Golden Knights	2:3 OT ✺
05.12.25	New Jersey Devils - Vegas Golden Knights	0:3 ✺
02.12.25	Vegas Golden Knights - Chicago Blackhawks	4:3 penalties ✺
29.11.25	Vegas Golden Knights - San Jose Sharks	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

NHL
02.01.25	Vegas Golden Knights - Philadelphia Flyers	5:2
25.11.24	Philadelphia Flyers - Vegas Golden Knights	4:5 penalties
18.11.23	Philadelphia Flyers - Vegas Golden Knights	4:3 OT
24.10.23	Vegas Golden Knights - Philadelphia Flyers	3:2
14.03.23	Philadelphia Flyers - Vegas Golden Knights	3:5
09.12.22	Vegas Golden Knights - Philadelphia Flyers	2:1 OT
08.03.22	Philadelphia Flyers - Vegas Golden Knights	2:1

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