The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
New York Islanders 33.4%
Draw 22.5%
Vegas Golden Knights 44.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.9%
23.2%
42.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.5%
22.9%
43.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New York Islanders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
Vegas Golden Knights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Islanders than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vegas Golden Knights than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
40%
40%
New York Islanders - Vegas Golden Knights Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. NY Islanders will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Vegas will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%). Confidence interval (95%) for Vegas: 9.6% – 70.4%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. NY Islanders (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Vegas (votes: 3 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH +1.5, OT - NY Islanders (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. NY Islanders (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Vegas (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
30. Sorokin I. (G)
79. Hart C. (G)
6. Pulock R. (A)
27. Theodore S.
48. Schaefer M.
3. McNabb B. (A)
49. Shabanov M.
42. Bowman B.
14. Horvat B. (A)
9. Eichel J. (A)
51. Heineman E.
49. Barbashev I.
Line 2
77. DeAngelo A.
2. Whitecloud Z.
3. Pelech A.
15. Hanifin N.
44. Pageau J.
61. Stone M. (C)
13. Barzal M.
21. Howden B.
27. Lee A. (C)
93. Marner M.
Line 3
24. Mayfield S.
6. Korczak K.
38. Mitchell T.
17. Hutton B.
11. Duclair A.
16. Dorofeyev P.
64. Ritchie C.
48. Hertl T.
10. Holmstrom S.
20. Saad B.
Line 4
16. Gatcomb M.
55. Kolesar K.
53. Cizikas C.
19. Smith R.
32. Maclean K.
23. Reinhardt C.
Substitutes
33. Rittich D. (G)
40. Schmid A. (G)
Coaches
. Roy P.
. Cassidy B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 2)
09:37, Horvat B. (2 min),
10:31, Marner M. (2 min),
10:54, Sorokin I. (2 min),
12:02, 0 - 1, Hanifin N. (G), Eichel J. (A), Theodore S. (A2)
16:01, 0 - 2, Marner M. (G), Korczak K. (A), Stone M. (A2)
18:55, McNabb B. (2 min),
18:55, Duclair A. (2 min),
19:33, 1 - 2, Horvat B. (G), Pulock R. (A), Schaefer M. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
01:24, Howden B. (2 min),
03:56, 2 - 2, Gatcomb M. (G), Cizikas C. (A), Maclean K. (A2)
13:30, 3 - 2, Holmstrom S. (G), Ritchie C. (A), Duclair A. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 2)
01:27, 3 - 3, Barbashev I. (G), Bowman B. (A), Eichel J. (A2)
08:44, Dorofeyev P. (2 min),
10:15, 4 - 3, Horvat B. (G), Barzal M. (A), Shabanov M. (A2)
17:39, Pelech A. (2 min),
19:46, 4 - 4, Dorofeyev P. (G), Marner M. (A), Stone M. (A2)
19:56, Maclean K. (2 min),
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (1 - 0)
1, Dorofeyev P. (Penalty Shot),
1, Barzal M. (Penalty Shot),
2, Marner M. (Penalty Shot),
2, Holmstrom S. (Penalty Shot),
3, Eichel J. (Penalty Shot),
3, Horvat B. (Penalty Shot),
4, Theodore S. (Penalty Shot),
4, Heineman E. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Islanders won 3.
In recent matches, NY Islanders has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Vegas is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Vegas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in NY Islanders: Bear E.
(Injury)
Drouin J.
(Back Injury)
Engvall P.
(Ankle Injury)
Palmieri K.
(Knee Injury)
Romanov A.
(Shoulder Injury)
Varlamov S.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Vegas: Karlsson W.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Pietrangelo A.
(Hip Injury)
There are questionable in NY Islanders: Pageau J.
(Upper-Body Injury)
There are questionable in Vegas: Hill A.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Lauzon J.
(Injury)
Sissons C.
(Illness)
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, NY Islanders won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 41:33. (average 2.7:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, NY Islanders won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:17. (average 2.9:2.4).
Last Results with these Odds
New York Islanders - the odds 2.86 are the expected chance of winning is 33.9%, but this team recently wins 52% of matches with these odds.
Vegas Golden Knights - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 42.9%, but this team recently wins 35% of matches with these odds.
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Sorokin I. (G) 
Hart C. (G) 
McNabb B. (A) 
Heineman E. 
Hertl T. 
Schmid A. (G) 
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