Match Info

NHL

Date: 26 January 2026, Monday

Location: Xfinity Mobile Arena (Philadelphia, PA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
Germany	NHL.tv
Iceland	Viaplay
Italy	DAZN Italia
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport 1
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Philadelphia Flyers		New York Islanders

	1	X	2
	2.3	4	2.65	Watch
	2.37	4.14	2.57
	2.38	4.22	2.52
	2.33	4.18	2.6	Watch
	2.38	4	2.63
	2.37	4.23	2.57
	2.35	4	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.3)	4.11 ↓ (4.32)	2.59 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Philadelphia Flyers
40.3%

Draw
23.1%

New York Islanders
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

22.5%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

22.5%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Philadelphia Flyers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

New York Islanders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Flyers than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Islanders than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	41.7%	33.3%

Philadelphia Flyers - New York Islanders Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Philadelphia will win (votes: 3 - 25%). NY Islanders will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 13.8% – 69.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Philadelphia (votes: 2 - 66.7%). NY Islanders (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 5.5, OT - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
33. Ersson S. (G)	30. Sorokin I. (G)
8. York C.	24. Mayfield S.
6. Sanheim T. (A)	48. Schaefer M.
11. Konecny T. (A)	51. Heineman E.
22. Dvorak C.	14. Horvat B. (A)
46. Zegras T.	49. Shabanov M.
Line 2
9. Drysdale J.	77. DeAngelo A.
24. Seeler N.	3. Pelech A.
74. Tippett O.	10. Holmstrom S.
14. Couturier S. (C)	13. Barzal M.
52. Barkey D.	11. Duclair A.
Line 3
55. Ristolainen R.	36. George I.
36. Andrae E.	34. Boqvist A.
10. Brink B.	29. Drouin J.
27. Cates N.	44. Pageau J.
39. Michkov M.	27. Lee A. (C)
Line 4
91. Grundstrom C.	16. Gatcomb M.
25. Pederson L.	53. Cizikas C.
29. Grebyonkin N.	32. Maclean K.
Substitutes
80. Vladar D. (G)	33. Rittich D. (G)
Coaches
. Tocchet R.	. Roy P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
03:12, Tsyplakov M. (2 min),
11:03, Cates N. (2 min),
14:14, Gatcomb M. (2 min),
14:29, 0 - 1, Pageau J. (G), Cizikas C. (A), Pelech A. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
02:30, Boqvist A. (2 min),
03:59, Tippett O. (2 min),
03:59, Mayfield S. (2 min),
05:41, 0 - 2, Barzal M. (G), George I. (A), Duclair A. (A2)
11:09, York C. (2 min),
12:50, 0 - 3, DeAngelo A. (G), Barzal M. (A), Duclair A. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
06:59, Tippett O. (2 min),
13:38, 0 - 4, Pageau J. (G), Tsyplakov M. (A), Lee A. (A2)

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Philadelphia: Abols R. (Lower-Body Injury) Foerster T. (Upper-Body Injury)

There will not play in NY Islanders: Engvall P. (Ankle Injury) Palmieri K. (Knee Injury) Romanov A. (Shoulder Injury) Varlamov S. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Philadelphia: Vladar D. (Lower-Body Injury)

There are questionable in NY Islanders: Pulock R. (Upper-Body Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 50:55. (average 2.5:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Philadelphia won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:26. (average 2.8:2.6).

Outrights of NHL for now

Philadelphia Flyers: 1.29% New York Islanders: 0.59%

Last Results with these Odds

Philadelphia Flyers - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 42.22%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

New York Islanders - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 35.31%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Philadelphia Flyers
NHL
23.01.26	Colorado Avalanche - Philadelphia Flyers	3:7 ✺
21.01.26	Utah Mammoth - Philadelphia Flyers	5:4 OT ✺
19.01.26	Vegas Golden Knights - Philadelphia Flyers	1:2 ✺
17.01.26	Philadelphia Flyers - New York Rangers	3:6 ✺
15.01.26	Pittsburgh Penguins - Philadelphia Flyers	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WLWLL
- New York Islanders
NHL
24.01.26	New York Islanders - Buffalo Sabres	0:5 ✺
21.01.26	Seattle Kraken - New York Islanders	4:1 ✺
19.01.26	Vancouver Canucks - New York Islanders	3:4 ✺
17.01.26	Calgary Flames - New York Islanders	4:2 ✺
15.01.26	Edmonton Oilers - New York Islanders	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

NHL
28.11.25	New York Islanders - Philadelphia Flyers	3:4 penalties
25.10.25	Philadelphia Flyers - New York Islanders	4:3 penalties
02.10.25	Philadelphia Flyers - New York Islanders	3:4
21.09.25	New York Islanders - Philadelphia Flyers	2:3 penalties
12.04.25	Philadelphia Flyers - New York Islanders	4:3 penalties
30.01.25	Philadelphia Flyers - New York Islanders	0:3
24.01.25	New York Islanders - Philadelphia Flyers	3:1

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