Match Info

RUSSIA: NMHL - PLAY OFFS - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 13 April 2023, Thursday


	Polyot Rybinsk		Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk

	1	X	2
	1.42	5.1	4.75	Watch
	1.65	4.3	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.82)	4.7 ↓ (4.8)	4.13 ↑ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 11.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polyot Rybinsk
58.9%

Draw
19.2%

Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

19.4%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

18.8%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polyot Rybinsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Polyot Rybinsk's performance.

Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polyot Rybinsk than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Polyot Rybinsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

5th leg. Series tied 2-2.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Polyot won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Polyot is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Polyot won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 47-40.

Including matches at home between the teams Polyot won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 23-16.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polyot Rybinsk
RHL
11.04.23	Polyot Rybinsk - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	3:4 ✺
10.04.23	Polyot Rybinsk - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	7:2 ✺
07.04.23	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Polyot Rybinsk	4:5 OT ✺
06.04.23	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Polyot Rybinsk	6:4 ✺
28.03.23	Polyot Rybinsk - Dinamo-Junior	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWWLW
- Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk
RHL
11.04.23	Polyot Rybinsk - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	3:4 ✺
10.04.23	Polyot Rybinsk - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	7:2 ✺
07.04.23	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Polyot Rybinsk	4:5 OT ✺
06.04.23	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Polyot Rybinsk	6:4 ✺
29.03.23	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Bobrov	2:1 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

RHL
11.04.23	Polyot Rybinsk - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	3:4
10.04.23	Polyot Rybinsk - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	7:2
07.04.23	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Polyot Rybinsk	4:5 OT
06.04.23	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Polyot Rybinsk	6:4
16.02.22	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Polyot Rybinsk	2:8
15.02.22	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Polyot Rybinsk	5:6 penalties
06.10.21	Polyot Rybinsk - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	2:3

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