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Current Win Probability
Portland Winterhawks 59.5%
Draw 19.4%
Moose Jaw Warriors 21.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
65.5%
16.4%
18.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
73.6%
18.4%
16.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portland Winterhawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Portland Winterhawks's form might have worsened.
Moose Jaw Warriors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Winterhawks than the current prediction. (+14.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Portland Winterhawks, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moose Jaw Warriors than the current prediction. (-5%)
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Stebetak O. (G)
35. Wutzke C. (G)
72. Brown R.
55. Andresen K.
20. Christopherson L.
19. Brown C.
22. Darby G.
8. Carter C.
92. Domenichelli A.
12. Degagne W.
9. Duguay J.
16. Degenstein N.
17. Dyck C.
26. Hirst B.
86. Free N.
22. Lajoie M.
27. Gustafson J.
7. McFadden L.
18. McDonough K.
20. McKenzie P.
24. McLaughlin W.
36. Nagel G.
14. Miller B.
2. Ness B. (C)
23. Miller R. (C)
45. Pavlik D.
77. Psenicka M.
10. Schmidt C. (A)
12. Slobodian C.
14. Semeniuk E. (A)
46. Spehar F.
15. Steranka S.
15. Spehar S.
38. Thorpe R.
47. Tsakumis N.
43. Trefny J.
88. Weiermair A. (A)
3. Williams C.
96. Wilfley L.
21. Ziprick A. (A)
Substitutes
32. Chase C. (G)
33. Jones K. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
10:10, 1 - 0, Miller B. (G), McDonough K. (A), Tsakumis N. (A2)
2nd Period (3 - 0)
02:19, 2 - 0, Dyck C. (G), McDonough K. (A), Psenicka M. (A2)
06:22, 3 - 0, Dyck C. (G), Psenicka M. (A), Miller B. (A2)
16:38, 4 - 0, Weiermair A. (G), Free N. (A), Duguay J. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
18:04, 5 - 0, Duguay J. (G), Wilfley L. (A),
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ WHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ WHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portland won 1.
Recent form of Portland has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Moose Jaw has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Recently, Portland has had a series of home games.
Recently, Moose Jaw has had a series of away games.
In this match, Portland is seen as the favorite.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Portland won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 64:45. (average 4.6:3.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Portland won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 35:27. (average 5:3.9).
Watch
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Stebetak O. (G) 
Wutzke C. (G) 
Brown R. 
Domenichelli A. 
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