Match Info

SHL

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Catena Arena (Ängelholm)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	TV4 Hockey, TV4 Play


	Rögle		Luleå

	1	X	2
	2.11	4.3	3
	2.09	4.13	3.02
	2.16	3.72	3.01	Watch
	2.05	3.9	2.8
	2.14	4.05	2.87	Watch
	2.2	4	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (2.04)	4.02 ↓ (4.17)	2.92 ↓ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rögle
44.3%

Draw
23.4%

Luleå
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

22.4%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

24.2%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rögle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Luleå has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rögle than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luleå than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Rögle - Luleå Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Luleå will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Luleå (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
75. Holm A. (G)	31. Ward M. (G)
58. Johansson F.	3. Allard F.
44. de Haan C.	29. Gustafsson E. (C)
52. Nilsson F.	24. Shinnimin B.
22. Olofsson F.	91. O'Neill B. (A)
62. Horky L.	6. Hedqvist I.
Line 2
6. LaDue P.	27. Laaksonen O.
16. Ekestahl-Jonsson L.	82. Leskinen O.
67. Bristedt L. (A)	51. Nurmi M.
28. Bengtsson A. (C)	96. Andreasson P.
72. Zaar D.	76. Levtchi A.
Line 3
17. Norlin I.	39. Sjalin P.
45. Biber G.	23. Sellgren J.
18. Everberg D. (A)	67. Omark L.
23. Dickinson J.	13. Koivistoinen E.
8. Sandin L.	86. Brome M.
Line 4
37. Sundsvik A.	32. Engsund O.
83. Kuhlman K.	25. Eriksson F.
41. Zether S.	9. Liedes H.
	72. Tardif B.
Substitutes
65. Rifalk C. (G)	34. Lassinantti J. (G)
27. Sjodin L.
Coaches
. Tangnes D.	. Berglund T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
05:09, Omark L. (2 min),
14:07, Olofsson F. (2 min),
15:14, Allard F. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
09:06, Zaar D. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
03:42, Allard F. (2 min),
06:39, 1 - 0, Kuhlman K. (G), Zether S. (A),
07:22, Koivistoinen E. (2 min),
18:34, 1 - 1, Omark L. (G), Leskinen O. (A),
Overtime (0 - 1)
03:27, 1 - 2, Levtchi A. (G), Sellgren J. (A),

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ SHL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ SHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rögle won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Rögle has had a series of away games.

Rögle might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rögle won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 52:39. (average 2.6:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Rögle won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:14. (average 2.5:1.4).

Outrights of SHL for now

Rogle: 10.24% Lulea: 9.83%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
6	Rogle	8	3	1	0	4	20:18	11
9	Lulea	8	3	0	1	4	20:26	10

Last Results with these Odds

Rögle - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 45.76%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Luleå - the odds 2.93 are the expected chance of winning is 31.86%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rögle BK
SHL
08.01.26	Timrå - Rögle	4:1 ✺
06.01.26	Djurgården - Rögle	2:4 ✺
03.01.26	Örebro - Rögle	3:4 ✺
30.12.25	Växjö Lakers - Rögle	3:2 penalties ✺
28.12.25	Rögle - HV71	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWWLW
- Luleå HF
SHL
08.01.26	Frölunda - Luleå	1:2 ✺
06.01.26	Luleå - HV71	5:6 OT ✺
03.01.26	Brynäs - Luleå	4:2 ✺
30.12.25	Djurgården - Luleå	3:4 ✺
28.12.25	Luleå - Timrå	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

SHL
30.10.25	Rögle - Luleå	6:0
18.09.25	Luleå - Rögle	1:2
20.02.25	Luleå - Rögle	4:3 penalties
11.01.25	Rögle - Luleå	2:3
28.11.24	Luleå - Rögle	4:5
05.10.24	Rögle - Luleå	1:3
02.03.24	Luleå - Rögle	1:2 penalties

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