Match Info

EUROPE: ALPS HOCKEY LEAGUE

Date: 21 October 2023, Saturday


	Red Bull Salzburg 2		EHC Lustenau

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.9	2.95
	1.85	4.2	2.93
	1.85	3.67	2.85
	1.91	3.8	3
	1.86	4.25	3.1
	1.85	4.3	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.87)	4.02 ↓ (4.02)	2.98 ↓ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Red Bull Salzburg 2
47.7%

Draw
22.3%

EHC Lustenau
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

22.2%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

21.1%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Bull Salzburg 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

EHC Lustenau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Salzburg 2 than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for EHC Lustenau than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Red Bull Salzburg 2 - EHC Lustenau Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Salzburg 2 won 3.

Salzburg 2 is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Lustenau is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lustenau could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Salzburg 2 will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 23 head-to-head matches Salzburg 2 won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 67-72.

Including matches at home between the teams Salzburg 2 won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 42-28.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Red Bull Salzburg 2
Alps Hockey League
19.10.23	Red Bull Salzburg 2 - Tigers Bregenzerwald	5:4 ✺
14.10.23	KAC II - Red Bull Salzburg 2	2:4 ✺
07.10.23	Gherdëina - Red Bull Salzburg 2	3:5 ✺
05.10.23	Red Bull Salzburg 2 - Ritten-Renon	3:4 OT ✺
30.09.23	Red Bull Salzburg 2 - Steel Wings Linz	2:1 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWLW
- EHC Lustenau
Alps Hockey League
19.10.23	Vipiteno - EHC Lustenau	8:2 ✺
14.10.23	EHC Lustenau - Merano Junior	7:10 ✺
12.10.23	Kitzbühel - EHC Lustenau	4:5 OT ✺
07.10.23	Ritten-Renon - EHC Lustenau	1:3 ✺
05.10.23	EHC Lustenau - Steel Wings Linz	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Alps Hockey League
26.11.22	EHC Lustenau - Red Bull Salzburg 2	3:4 penalties
08.10.22	Red Bull Salzburg 2 - EHC Lustenau	6:1
18.09.21	Red Bull Salzburg 2 - EHC Lustenau	4:3 OT
14.09.21	EHC Lustenau - Red Bull Salzburg 2	4:2
28.11.20	EHC Lustenau - Red Bull Salzburg 2	3:2 OT
30.10.20	Red Bull Salzburg 2 - EHC Lustenau	3:1
29.02.20	EHC Lustenau - Red Bull Salzburg 2	6:0

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