Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 16 January 2026, Friday


	RoKi U20		Kärpät U20

	1	X	2
	4	4.5	1.48
	4.36	4.53	1.57	Watch
	3.9	4.2	1.6
	3.69	4.33	1.68
	3.75	4.5	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.94 ↓ (4.33)	4.41 ↓ (4.53)	1.58 ↑ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

RoKi U20
22.8%

Draw
20.4%

Kärpät U20
56.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.2%

20.3%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3%

23.2%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RoKi U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Kärpät U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RoKi U20 than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kärpät U20 than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kärpät U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

RoKi U20 - Kärpät U20 Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - RoKi U20 (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. RoKi U20 (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
02:10, 0 - 1, Karassaari J. (G), Jurvelin L. (A), Saarenpaa M. (A2)
14:07, 1 - 1, Strazdins R. (G), Viljakainen J. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 3)
02:09, 1 - 2, Blazek V. (G), Tynkila A. (A), Alasiurua A. (A2)
08:37, 1 - 3, Martinmaki K. (G), Jung S. (A), Blazek V. (A2)
09:54, 2 - 3, Tormakangas J. (G), Hyytia V. (A), Niemela E. (A2)
12:24, 2 - 4, Viuhkola N. (G), Salovaara E. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 3)
02:05, 2 - 5, Salovaara E. (G),
12:47, 2 - 6, Jung S. (G), Viita F. (A), Martinmaki K. (A2)
14:58, 2 - 7, Saarenpaa M. (G), Hand I. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RoKi U20 won 1.

RoKi U20 is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Kärpät U20 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, RoKi U20 has had a series of home games.

In this match, Kärpät U20 is a strong favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, RoKi U20 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:53. (average 2.1:4.4).

Including home matches between the teams, RoKi U20 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:31. (average 2.1:4.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
7	Karpat U20	12	5	3	0	4	40:35	21
17	RoKi U20	11	1	1	1	8	29:60	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RoKi U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
10.01.26	RoKi U20 - JYP U20	3:2 OT ✺
09.01.26	RoKi U20 - SaiPa U20	3:6 ✺
04.01.26	RoKi U20 - Ilves U20	4:5 OT ✺
03.01.26	RoKi U20 - Ilves U20	3:6 ✺
20.12.25	Ilves U20 - RoKi U20	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLLLL
- Kärpät U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
10.01.26	Kärpät U20 - SaiPa U20	5:2 ✺
09.01.26	Kärpät U20 - JYP U20	2:3 ✺
04.01.26	Ässät U20 - Kärpät U20	5:0 ✺
03.01.26	TPS U20 - Kärpät U20	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	SaiPa U20 - Kärpät U20	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
03.12.25	RoKi U20 - Kärpät U20	1:2
14.11.25	Kärpät U20 - RoKi U20	5:1
23.01.25	RoKi U20 - Kärpät U20	4:3
30.11.24	RoKi U20 - Kärpät U20	4:6
29.11.24	Kärpät U20 - RoKi U20	7:1
01.09.23	Kärpät U20 - RoKi U20	5:3
06.10.22	RoKi U20 - Kärpät U20	3:1

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