Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday


	RoKi U20		TPS U20

	1	X	2
	3.05	4.4	1.7
	4.08	4.43	1.55
	3.83	5.10	1.59	Watch
	4.33	4.65	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.82 ↓ (4.19)	4.65 ↑ (4.52)	1.6 ↑ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

RoKi U20
23.7%

Draw
19.5%

TPS U20
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.7%

20.1%

58.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8%

19.3%

60.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RoKi U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

TPS U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for RoKi U20 than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TPS U20 than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

RoKi U20 - TPS U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
08:09, 1 - 0, Viljakainen J. (G), Paivarinta S. (A), Haataja A. (A2)
16:22, 2 - 0, Viljakainen J. (G), Strazdins R. (A), Puotiniemi V. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
05:00, 3 - 0, Viljakainen J. (G), Haataja A. (A), Lamsa J. (A2)
05:40, 3 - 1, Kaukonen J. (G), Uusikartano A. (A), Elo S. (A2)
08:39, 3 - 2, Virtanen J. (G), Parssinen J. (A), Nissila N. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
12:43, 3 - 3, Kaukonen J. (G), Vahalahti E. (A), Uusikartano A. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (0 - 2)
1, Virtanen J. (Penalty Shot),
1, Viljakainen J. (Penalty Shot),
2, Kallio W. (Penalty Shot),
2, Turppa T. (Penalty Shot),
3, Parssinen J. (Penalty Shot),
3, Juopperi V. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RoKi U20 won 2.

RoKi U20 is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

TPS U20's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

RoKi U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, RoKi U20 has had a series of away games.

Recently, TPS U20 has had a series of home games.

In this match, TPS U20 is seen as the favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, RoKi U20 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:27. (average 2.5:4.5).

Including home matches between the teams, RoKi U20 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:23. (average 1.5:5.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RoKi U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
17.10.25	RoKi U20 - HIFK U20	4:6 ✺
12.10.25	Tappara U20 - RoKi U20	6:2 ✺
11.10.25	KalPa U20 - RoKi U20	8:1 ✺
10.10.25	Lukko U20 - RoKi U20	0:4 ✺
04.10.25	Ässät U20 - RoKi U20	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LLLWL
- TPS U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
18.10.25	TPS U20 - SaiPa U20	3:2 ✺
17.10.25	TPS U20 - Jokerit U20	3:4 penalties ✺
11.10.25	TPS U20 - Pelicans U20	3:2 penalties ✺
04.10.25	Tappara U20 - TPS U20	5:0 ✺
03.10.25	TPS U20 - RoKi U20	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
03.10.25	TPS U20 - RoKi U20	3:4
12.10.24	TPS U20 - RoKi U20	1:5
14.09.24	RoKi U20 - TPS U20	3:4 penalties
13.10.23	RoKi U20 - TPS U20	0:5
21.10.22	RoKi U20 - TPS U20	0:12
03.09.21	RoKi U20 - TPS U20	3:2

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