Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday


	TPS U20		SaiPa U20

	1	X	2
	1.9	4.41	2.9
	1.67	4.46	3.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.67)	4.44 ↓ (4.46)	3.34 ↓ (3.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

TPS U20
51.6%

Draw
20.8%

SaiPa U20
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

20.6%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

19.6%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

TPS U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

SaiPa U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TPS U20 than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SaiPa U20 than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (3 - 1)
10:58, 1 - 0, Katkovsky D. (G), Tuononen A. (A), Pinomaki B. (A2)
12:23, 1 - 1, Ronkko J. (G), Zemlicka R. (A),
16:53, 2 - 1, Kallio W. (G), Kaukonen J. (A), Nummelin R. (A2)
19:57, 3 - 1, Kallio W. (G), Parssinen J. (A), Kaukonen J. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
19:27, 3 - 2, Zezelj A. (G), Kontunen O. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TPS U20 won 4.

TPS U20 has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

SaiPa U20 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, SaiPa U20 has had a series of away games.

In this match, TPS U20 is the team to beat.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, TPS U20 won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 68:41. (average 4.3:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, TPS U20 won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 29:22. (average 4.1:3.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TPS U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
17.10.25	TPS U20 - Jokerit U20	3:4 penalties ✺
11.10.25	TPS U20 - Pelicans U20	3:2 penalties ✺
04.10.25	Tappara U20 - TPS U20	5:0 ✺
03.10.25	TPS U20 - RoKi U20	3:4 ✺
28.09.25	JYP U20 - TPS U20	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWLLL
- SaiPa U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
17.10.25	Lukko U20 - SaiPa U20	3:0 ✺
11.10.25	HPK U20 - SaiPa U20	3:4 OT ✺
04.10.25	Vaasan Sport U20 - SaiPa U20	4:7 ✺
03.10.25	Ässät U20 - SaiPa U20	4:3 OT ✺
28.09.25	SaiPa U20 - Tappara U20	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
29.11.24	TPS U20 - SaiPa U20	6:1
29.09.24	SaiPa U20 - TPS U20	1:2
15.12.23	TPS U20 - SaiPa U20	3:2
25.11.23	SaiPa U20 - TPS U20	6:5 OT
25.09.22	SaiPa U20 - TPS U20	1:5
15.10.21	SaiPa U20 - TPS U20	1:8
27.11.20	TPS U20 - SaiPa U20	2:4

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