The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rochester Americans 37.3%
Draw 22.6%
Charlotte Checkers 40%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.3%
22.2%
40.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.9%
24.4%
36.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Rochester Americans have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
Charlotte Checkers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rochester Americans than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlotte Checkers than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Rochester Americans - Charlotte Checkers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
27. Levi D. (G)
20. Gerasimyuk K. (G)
15. Bayreuther G. (A)
5. Carrick T. (C)
58. Belliveau I.
36. Chorske B.
73. Costantini M.
4. Devine J.
37. Douglas C.
18. Entwistle M. (A)
29. Fulp A.
39. Gaber R.
4. Geertsen M.
12. Huard C.
91. Helenius K.
3. Jansson L.
39. Jones Z.
21. Livingstone J.
8. Joshua J.
7. Mastrosimone R.
83. Komarov V.
26. Pinho B.
16. Kuntar T.
11. Powell E.
36. Laaouan N.
25. Skoog W.
25. Lawrence K.
15. Smith N.
7. Leschyshyn J.
6. Steeves B.
72. Meyer C. (A)
19. St. Martin H.
20. Nadeau O.
23. Studnicka J.
17. Savage R.
8. Vande Sompel M.
24. Wahlberg A.
29. Vilmanis S.
Substitutes
33. Ratzlaff S. (G)
70. Domingue L. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 2)
00:28, 0 - 1, Studnicka J. (G), Vilmanis S. (A), Skoog W. (A2)
11:07, 0 - 2, Jansson L. (G), Vilmanis S. (A), Skoog W. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
05:17, 1 - 2, Laaouan N. (G), Belliveau I. (A), Joshua J. (A2)
10:18, 1 - 3, Steeves B. (G), Devine J. (A), Vande Sompel M. (A2)
16:22, 2 - 3, Helenius K. (G), Jones Z. (A), Kuntar T. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 2)
10:41, 2 - 4, Entwistle M. (G), St. Martin H. (A), Carrick T. (A2)
16:44, 3 - 4, Bayreuther G. (G),
19:49, 3 - 5, Vilmanis S. (G),
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ))
Charlotte is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rochester won 1.
Rochester has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Charlotte is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Recently, Rochester has had a series of home games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rochester won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 53:75. (average 2.7:3.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Rochester won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:33. (average 2.6:3.7).
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Levi D. (G) 
Gerasimyuk K. (G) 
Bayreuther G. (A) 
Helenius K. 
Jansson L. 
Vilmanis S. 
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