Match Info

AHL

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Blue Cross Arena (Rochester, NY) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Usa	15:05	Flohockey


	Rochester Americans		Hartford Wolf Pack

	1	X	2
	2.05	4	2.7	Watch
	2.12	3.95	2.8
	2.03	4.2	2.96
	2.01	4.24	2.97	Watch
	2	4	2.8
	2.02	4.23	2.97	Watch
	1.87	4	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.81)	4.09 ↑ (3.9)	2.95 ↓ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rochester Americans
46%

Draw
22.6%

Hartford Wolf Pack
31.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.8%

23.1%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

23.6%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rochester Americans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Hartford Wolf Pack has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rochester Americans than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartford Wolf Pack than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hartford Wolf Pack, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Rochester Americans - Hartford Wolf Pack Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Levi D. (G)	30. Martin S. (G)
15. Bayreuther G. (A)	21. Blidh A. (A)
73. Costantini M.	19. Brisson B.
12. Fiddler-Schultz R.	38. Dorrington J.
91. Helenius K.	4. Fitzgerald C. (C)
23. Johnson R.	64. Fix-Wolansky T.
39. Jones Z.	59. Karpa Z.
8. Joshua J.	26. Lamb B.
83. Komarov V.	18. McConnell-Barker B.
16. Kuntar T.	5. Merisier-Ortiz C.
36. Laaouan N.	3. Moore C.
25. Lawrence K.	55. Morrow S.
7. Leschyshyn J.	28. Roobroeck D.
2. McCarthy G.	58. Scanlin B.
72. Meyer C. (A)	10. Sykora A.
20. Nadeau O.	11. Terrance C.
19. Slaggert G.	6. Thompson A.
24. Wahlberg A.	85. Walcott D.
45. Warren B. (A)	24. Waugh P.
Substitutes
33. Ratzlaff S. (G)	35. Tung C. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 3)
03:38, 0 - 1, Fix-Wolansky T. (G), Brisson B. (A), Sykora A. (A2)
07:35, 1 - 1, Helenius K. (G), Wahlberg A. (A), Meyer C. (A2)
09:02, 1 - 2, Blidh A. (G), Morrow S. (A), Waugh P. (A2)
12:49, 1 - 3, Lamb B. (G), Morrow S. (A), McConnell-Barker B. (A2)
19:45, 2 - 3, Helenius K. (G), Costantini M. (A), Johnson R. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
00:30, 3 - 3, Helenius K. (G), Wahlberg A. (A),
13:29, 4 - 3, Leschyshyn J. (G), Meyer C. (A), Nadeau O. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
02:05, 5 - 3, Joshua J. (G),
16:58, 6 - 3, Komarov V. (G),

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rochester won 5.

Rochester is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Hartford has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Rochester may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Hartford has had a series of away games.

Rochester will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rochester won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 74:61. (average 3.7:3.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Rochester won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 38:29. (average 4.2:3.2).

Outrights of AHL for now

Rochester Americans: 3.39% Hartford Wolf Pack: 1.17%

Last Results with these Odds

Hartford Wolf Pack - the odds 3.33 are the expected chance of winning is 27.07%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rochester Americans
AHL
20.03.26	Rochester Americans - Syracuse Crunch	3:5 ✺
14.03.26	Toronto Marlies - Rochester Americans	3:0 ✺
13.03.26	Rochester Americans - Toronto Marlies	4:3 OT ✺
11.03.26	Rochester Americans - Utica Comets	1:4 ✺
07.03.26	Laval Rocket - Rochester Americans	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLWLL
- Hartford Wolf Pack
AHL
21.03.26	Toronto Marlies - Hartford Wolf Pack	6:3 ✺
18.03.26	Charlotte Checkers - Hartford Wolf Pack	2:5 ✺
17.03.26	Charlotte Checkers - Hartford Wolf Pack	2:5 ✺
14.03.26	Providence Bruins - Hartford Wolf Pack	7:0 ✺
13.03.26	Hartford Wolf Pack - Cleveland Monsters	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

AHL
14.11.25	Hartford Wolf Pack - Rochester Americans	3:4 OT
25.01.25	Hartford Wolf Pack - Rochester Americans	3:6
08.11.24	Rochester Americans - Hartford Wolf Pack	6:3
20.03.24	Rochester Americans - Hartford Wolf Pack	6:5
15.12.23	Hartford Wolf Pack - Rochester Americans	2:3 OT
10.03.23	Rochester Americans - Hartford Wolf Pack	8:4
21.01.23	Hartford Wolf Pack - Rochester Americans	4:1

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