The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rochester Americans 46%
Draw 22.6%
Hartford Wolf Pack 31.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.8%
23.1%
27.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.9%
24.5%
25.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rochester Americans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
Hartford Wolf Pack has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rochester Americans than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rochester Americans, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartford Wolf Pack than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hartford Wolf Pack, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Rochester Americans - Hartford Wolf Pack Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
27. Levi D. (G)
30. Martin S. (G)
15. Bayreuther G. (A)
21. Blidh A. (A)
73. Costantini M.
19. Brisson B.
12. Fiddler-Schultz R.
38. Dorrington J.
91. Helenius K.
4. Fitzgerald C. (C)
23. Johnson R.
64. Fix-Wolansky T.
39. Jones Z.
59. Karpa Z.
8. Joshua J.
26. Lamb B.
83. Komarov V.
18. McConnell-Barker B.
16. Kuntar T.
5. Merisier-Ortiz C.
36. Laaouan N.
3. Moore C.
25. Lawrence K.
55. Morrow S.
7. Leschyshyn J.
28. Roobroeck D.
2. McCarthy G.
58. Scanlin B.
72. Meyer C. (A)
10. Sykora A.
20. Nadeau O.
11. Terrance C.
19. Slaggert G.
6. Thompson A.
24. Wahlberg A.
85. Walcott D.
45. Warren B. (A)
24. Waugh P.
Substitutes
33. Ratzlaff S. (G)
35. Tung C. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 3)
03:38, 0 - 1, Fix-Wolansky T. (G), Brisson B. (A), Sykora A. (A2)
07:35, 1 - 1, Helenius K. (G), Wahlberg A. (A), Meyer C. (A2)
09:02, 1 - 2, Blidh A. (G), Morrow S. (A), Waugh P. (A2)
12:49, 1 - 3, Lamb B. (G), Morrow S. (A), McConnell-Barker B. (A2)
19:45, 2 - 3, Helenius K. (G), Costantini M. (A), Johnson R. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
00:30, 3 - 3, Helenius K. (G), Wahlberg A. (A),
13:29, 4 - 3, Leschyshyn J. (G), Meyer C. (A), Nadeau O. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
02:05, 5 - 3, Joshua J. (G),
16:58, 6 - 3, Komarov V. (G),
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rochester won 5.
Rochester is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Hartford has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Rochester may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Hartford has had a series of away games.
Rochester will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rochester won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 74:61. (average 3.7:3.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Rochester won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 38:29. (average 4.2:3.2).
Last Results with these Odds
Hartford Wolf Pack - the odds 3.33 are the expected chance of winning is 27.07%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.
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Levi D. (G) 
Bayreuther G. (A) 
Blidh A. (A) 
Helenius K. 
Komarov V. 
Sykora A. 
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