Match Info

AHL

Date: 7 November 2025, Friday

Location: Blue Cross Arena (Rochester, NY)


	Rochester Americans		Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins

	1	X	2
	2.25	4	2.4	Watch
	2.34	4	2.5
	2.31	3.88	2.52
	2.24	4.23	2.53	Watch
	2.33	4.1	2.53	Watch
	2.19	3.97	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.24)	4.03 ↓ (4.23)	2.49 ↓ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rochester Americans
40.3%

Draw
22.8%

Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

21.9%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

21.8%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rochester Americans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rochester Americans than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Rochester Americans - Wilkes Barre Scranton Penguins Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Levi D. (G)	31. Larsson F. (G)
58. Belliveau I.	56. Alexeyev A.
73. Costantini M.	80. Ansons R.
12. Fiddler-Schultz R.	63. Brickey S.
91. Helenius K.	26. Broz T.
23. Johnson R.	84. Calvert A.
8. Joshua J.	54. De St. Phalle M.
83. Komarov V.	62. Gallant Z.
21. Kopff T.	49. Harvey-Pinard R.
16. Kuntar T.	10. Huglen A.
36. Laaouan N.	14. Imama B. (A)
7. Leschyshyn J.	52. Kemp P. (A)
22. Metsa Z. (C)	64. Klassen G.
79. Neuchev V.	6. Laatsch D.
74. Novikov N.	8. McDonough A.
5. Rathbone J. (A)	38. Pickering O.
19. Slaggert G.	44. Pietila C.
24. Wahlberg A.	22. Poulin S.
45. Warren B. (A)	23. Renwick N.
Substitutes
50. Leinonen T. (G)	40. Pavlenko M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (4 - 1)
12:29, 1 - 0, Kuntar T. (G), Metsa Z. (A), Joshua J. (A2)
13:04, 1 - 1, De St. Phalle M. (G),
16:13, 2 - 1, Leschyshyn J. (G), Wahlberg A. (A), Helenius K. (A2)
17:16, 3 - 1, Costantini M. (G), Warren B. (A), Slaggert G. (A2)
19:32, 4 - 1, Kuntar T. (G), Slaggert G. (A), Laaouan N. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
02:40, 4 - 2, Alexeyev A. (G), McDonough A. (A), Broz T. (A2)
15:29, 4 - 3, Broz T. (G), Pickering O. (A), McDonough A. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 1)
07:07, 4 - 4, Poulin S. (G), Laatsch D. (A), Renwick N. (A2)
11:57, 5 - 4, Metsa Z. (G),
17:56, 6 - 4, Neuchev V. (G),

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rochester won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Rochester has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Rochester will win today's game, with odds of 2.22.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rochester won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 69:49. (average 3.5:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Rochester won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 43:23. (average 3.9:2.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - the odds 2.53 are the expected chance of winning is 36.66%, but this team recently wins 59% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rochester Americans
AHL
05.11.25	Rochester Americans - Syracuse Crunch	3:5 ✺
01.11.25	Laval Rocket - Rochester Americans	5:2 ✺
31.10.25	Laval Rocket - Rochester Americans	1:2 ✺
29.10.25	Belleville Senators - Rochester Americans	1:4 ✺
25.10.25	Cleveland Monsters - Rochester Americans	3:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LLWWW
- Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins
AHL
05.11.25	Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Toronto Marlies	3:4 OT ✺
01.11.25	Utica Comets - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	3:1 ✺
31.10.25	Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Bridgeport Islanders	3:2 ✺
29.10.25	Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Providence Bruins	1:3 ✺
25.10.25	Charlotte Checkers - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	2:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

AHL
26.02.25	Rochester Americans - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	5:2
09.11.24	Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Rochester Americans	5:0
16.02.24	Rochester Americans - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	5:3
16.12.23	Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Rochester Americans	2:1
17.03.23	Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Rochester Americans	5:4 penalties
25.01.23	Rochester Americans - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	3:2
09.02.22	Rochester Americans - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	3:1

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