Match Info

AHL - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 7 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Mohegan Sun Arena at Casey Plaza (Wilkes-Barre Township, PA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Flohockey


	Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins		Toronto Marlies

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.00	4.20	2.95
	2.06	3.97	2.96
	2.02	4.12	2.99
	1.43	4.64	6.15	Watch
	1.95	4	3
	2.01	4	2.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.02)	4.16 ↑ (4.07)	3.5 ↑ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins
49.8%

Draw
22.9%

Toronto Marlies
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

22.8%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

26%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Toronto Marlies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Marlies than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Wilkes Barre Scranton Penguins - Toronto Marlies Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Wilkes-Barre will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Toronto will win (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Murashov S. (G)	70. Akhtyamov A. (G)
56. Alexeyev A.	33. Benning M. (A)
42. Breazeale D.	53. Cowan E.
63. Brickey S.	38. Danford B.
26. Broz T.	29. Groulx B.
45. Brunicke H.	43. Haymes L.
84. Calvert A.	57. Johnstone M. (A)
49. Harvey-Pinard R.	71. Lettieri V.
85. Hayes A. (A)	36. Mermis D.
22. Howe T.	92. Nylander A.
70. Ilyin M.	56. Pare C.
64. Klassen G.	61. Pezzetta M.
41. Koivunen V.	83. Rifai M.
15. Koppanen J. (A)	11. Shaw L. (C)
8. McDonough A. (A)	42. Sim L.
2. McGroarty R.	3. Thrun H.
79. Pieniniemi E.	77. Tverberg R.
44. Pietila C.	39. Valis B.
72. Zonnon B.	76. Villeneuve W.
Substitutes
30. Blomqvist J. (G)	35. Hildeby D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
06:26, 1 - 0, McDonough A. (G), Hayes A. (A), Brunicke H. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
09:11, 1 - 1, Cowan E. (G), Tverberg R. (A), Haymes L. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Overtime (0 - 1)
13:44, 1 - 2, Nylander A. (G),

Preview

Toronto Marlies leads series 3-2. Sixth leg.

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wilkes-Barre won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Wilkes-Barre might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wilkes-Barre won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 59:68. (average 3:3.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Wilkes-Barre won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:27. (average 2:3).

Last Results with these Odds

Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 46.09%, but this team recently wins 65% of matches with these odds.

Toronto Marlies - the odds 2.99 are the expected chance of winning is 31.09%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins
AHL
05.06.26	Toronto Marlies - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	5:1 ✺
03.06.26	Toronto Marlies - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	3:4 ✺
01.06.26	Toronto Marlies - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	3:5 ✺
29.05.26	Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Toronto Marlies	1:2 OT ✺
27.05.26	Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Toronto Marlies	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWLL
- Toronto Marlies
AHL
05.06.26	Toronto Marlies - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	5:1 ✺
03.06.26	Toronto Marlies - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	3:4 ✺
01.06.26	Toronto Marlies - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	3:5 ✺
29.05.26	Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Toronto Marlies	1:2 OT ✺
27.05.26	Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Toronto Marlies	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

AHL
05.06.26	Toronto Marlies - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	5:1
03.06.26	Toronto Marlies - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	3:4
01.06.26	Toronto Marlies - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	3:5
29.05.26	Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Toronto Marlies	1:2 OT
27.05.26	Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Toronto Marlies	2:4
22.03.26	Toronto Marlies - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	3:4
05.11.25	Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Toronto Marlies	3:4 OT

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