Match Info

VHL

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Ledovy Dvorets (Tula)


	AKM		Metallurg Novokuznetsk

	1	X	2
	3.52	3.99	1.79
	3.81	4.3	1.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.67 ↑ (3.31)	4.15 ↑ (4.1)	1.77 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

AKM
25.3%

Draw
22.4%

Metallurg Novokuznetsk
52.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.3%

22.9%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

22.2%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AKM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Metallurg Novokuznetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AKM than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Novokuznetsk than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

AKM - Metallurg Novokuznetsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

#ad

Lineups

Line 1
60. Kanarsky I. (G)	73. Podskrebalin N. (G)
25. Puchkov Y. (A)	8. Naumov V. (A)
71. Zaitsev D.	51. Mineyev M.
28. Tsybin M. (A)	88. Shalagin M.
88. Shiafotdinov K.	40. Apalkov D. (C)
70. Dyukarev V.	33. Shablovsky Z.
Line 2
23. Yuzbashyan R.	54. Chibrikov I.
85. Fazylzyanov K. (C)	77. Vinogradov A.
15. Yermakov Y.	17. Sokolov D.
77. Sharifyanov T.	89. Guslistov N. (A)
36. Shumilin Y.	10. Sheshin D.
Line 3
38. Bulygin D.	47. Churkin V.
80. Strugov Y.	9. Belov D.
12. Rybakov V.	97. Ovchinnikov D.
13. Bryntsev M.	24. Khrapov F.
32. Manin Y.	59. Perevalov A.
Line 4
19. Moiseyev D.	12. Kryukov T.
7. Fyodorov S.	14. Mikhalyov V.
47. Bulatov D.	50. Kurbatov V.
29. Kaburov G.	18. Serdyuk Y.
86. Ignatov S.
Substitutes
91. Pastukh V. (G)	94. Bogdanov N. (G)
	71. Grzheletsky M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
12:15, 1 - 0, Kaburov G. (G),
2nd Period (1 - 3)
06:25, 1 - 1, Apalkov D. (G), Naumov V. (A), Sokolov D. (A2)
11:14, 1 - 2, Ovchinnikov D. (G), Shalagin M. (A), Mineyev M. (A2)
11:54, 2 - 2, Puchkov Y. (G), Shumilin Y. (A), Sharifyanov T. (A2)
18:39, 2 - 3, Sheshin D. (G),
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AKM won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

AKM may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Metallurg N is considered a favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, AKM won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:29. (average 2.4:3.2).

Including home matches between the teams, AKM won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:18. (average 2.4:3.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Metallurg Novokuznetsk - the odds 1.92 are the expected chance of winning is 48.82%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AKM Tula
VHL
13.11.25	AKM - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	3:1 ✺
11.11.25	AKM - Norilsk	2:1 ✺
05.11.25	SKA-VMF - AKM	3:2 ✺
03.11.25	Dinamo St. Petersburg - AKM	5:3 ✺
27.10.25	AKM - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WWLLW
- Metallurg Novokuznetsk
VHL
13.11.25	Ryazan - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	3:1 ✺
11.11.25	Dizel Penza - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	0:3 ✺
09.11.25	Kristall Saratov - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	2:3 ✺
03.11.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Izhstal	1:3 ✺
01.11.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Toros Neftekamsk	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
24.01.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - AKM	1:2 penalties
27.10.24	AKM - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	1:3
28.01.24	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - AKM	1:2
25.11.23	AKM - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	3:2 penalties
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
27.08.23	AKM - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	6:5 OT
VHL
11.02.23	AKM - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	0:4
06.09.22	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - AKM	6:4

Upcoming Matches