Match Info

VHL

Date: 30 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: Sports Palace (Tyumen)


	Rubin Tyumen		Metallurg Novokuznetsk

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.57	2.25
	2.93	3.94	2.11	Watch
	2.91	3.6	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.91)	3.7 ↑ (3.6)	2.2 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rubin Tyumen
32%

Draw
25.3%

Metallurg Novokuznetsk
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

26%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

25.9%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rubin Tyumen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Metallurg Novokuznetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubin Tyumen than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Novokuznetsk than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Rubin Tyumen - Metallurg Novokuznetsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
1. Gromovik Y. (G)	73. Podskrebalin N. (G)
11. Popov Y.	51. Mineyev M. (A)
12. Lyutov D.	75. Starikov L.
27. Davydov D.	59. Perevalov A.
10. Petrakov I.	40. Apalkov D. (C)
9. Ivanov S.	97. Ovchinnikov D.
Line 2
55. Stikhanovsky M.	77. Vinogradov A.
93. Vashchenko N.	8. Naumov V. (A)
80. Koshurnikov K.	88. Shalagin M.
18. Meshcheryakov M.	21. Kodola V.
22. Babenko Y.	10. Sheshin D.
Line 3
28. Tsyganov D.	47. Churkin V.
7. Brinkmann A.	9. Belov D.
43. Voronkov P.	17. Sokolov D.
57. Kanitsky Y.	89. Guslistov N.
78. Meshkov P.	18. Serdyuk Y.
Line 4
24. Kolganov I.	12. Kryukov T.
53. Voevodin D.	70. Karapetyan D.
85. Styozhkin I.	50. Kurbatov V.
66. Piliya D.	33. Shablovsky Z.
Substitutes
90. Gabdrakhmanov D. (G)	37. Botov M. (G)
	71. Grzheletsky M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
10:28, 1 - 0, Kanitsky Y. (G), Ivanov S. (A), Popov Y. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
12:35, 1 - 1, Perevalov A. (G), Apalkov D. (A), Shablovsky Z. (A2)
Overtime (1 - 0)
03:10, 2 - 1, Popov Y. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rubin won 1.

Recent performances by Rubin have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Metallurg N is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Metallurg N may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rubin won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 51:63. (average 2.6:3.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Rubin won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 31:33. (average 3.1:3.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rubin Tyumen
VHL
27.09.25	Rubin Tyumen - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	1:3 ✺
25.09.25	Rubin Tyumen - Norilsk	3:2 ✺
21.09.25	SKA-VMF - Rubin Tyumen	1:5 ✺
19.09.25	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Rubin Tyumen	1:0 ✺
12.09.25	Rubin Tyumen - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWLL
- Metallurg Novokuznetsk
VHL
28.09.25	Zauralie Kurgan - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	2:5 ✺
26.09.25	Omskie Krylia - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	3:4 OT ✺
21.09.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Tambov	3:2 ✺
19.09.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Rostov	3:2 ✺
17.09.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Buran Voronezh	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
06.02.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Rubin Tyumen	4:3 OT
14.10.24	Rubin Tyumen - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	2:3
29.11.23	Rubin Tyumen - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	3:4
17.11.23	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Rubin Tyumen	1:2
12.12.22	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Rubin Tyumen	3:1
03.11.22	Rubin Tyumen - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	6:5 OT
15.02.22	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Rubin Tyumen	3:2 penalties

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