Match Info

VHL

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Khokkeynyy Gorod (Saint Petersburg) 🌤️ ...


	SKA-VMF		Rubin Tyumen

	1	X	2
	2.27	3.84	2.76
	2.26	3.78	2.76	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.18)	3.81 ↓ (3.84)	2.76 ↓ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SKA-VMF
41.4%

Draw
24.6%

Rubin Tyumen
34%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.9%

24.4%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

24.1%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SKA-VMF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Rubin Tyumen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SKA-VMF than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rubin Tyumen than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

SKA VMF - Rubin Tyumen Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
52. Moysevich P. (G)	90. Gabdrakhmanov D. (G)
27. Sapunov V.	55. Stikhanovsky M.
47. Zelenov Y. (C)	12. Lyutov D.
82. Mamaladze D.	9. Ivanov S.
17. Kabush M. (A)	10. Petrakov I.
97. Nugmanov A.	27. Davydov D.
Line 2
5. Yarullin A.	7. Brinkmann A.
68. Beshkorov K.	35. Vdovin Y.
81. Slivchenko M.	22. Babenko Y.
18. Nedopyokin N.	18. Meshcheryakov M.
38. Gurzanov Y. (A)	80. Koshurnikov K.
Line 3
80. Gryaznov G.	24. Kolganov I.
21. Kalinin N.	93. Vashchenko N.
96. Kabat M.	43. Voronkov P.
88. Lazutin D.	85. Styozhkin I.
23. Osipov G.	78. Meshkov P.
Line 4
63. Anisimov S.	28. Tsyganov D.
85. Kapchuk S.	53. Voevodin D.
40. Proskurnin A.	57. Kanitsky Y.
13. Kuzmin I.	66. Piliya D.
Substitutes
11. Gorbushin M.	1. Gromovik Y. (G)
74. Podlyagin N. (G)
31. Saranchuk G. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
06:04, 1 - 0, Kapchuk S. (G), Yarullin A. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 3)
07:30, 1 - 1, Petrakov I. (G), Stikhanovsky M. (A), Ivanov S. (A2)
17:55, 1 - 2, Tsyganov D. (G), Voevodin D. (A), Kanitsky Y. (A2)
19:34, 1 - 3, Babenko Y. (G), Meshcheryakov M. (A), Stikhanovsky M. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
02:26, 1 - 4, Piliya D. (G), Voevodin D. (A),
13:12, 1 - 5, Styozhkin I. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SKA-VMF won 4.

In recent matches, SKA-VMF has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Rubin has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Rubin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Rubin has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, SKA-VMF won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 55:38. (average 2.8:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, SKA-VMF won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 35:16. (average 3.5:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SKA-VMF St. Petersburg
VHL
19.09.25	SKA-VMF - Zauralie Kurgan	2:3 OT ✺
17.09.25	SKA-VMF - Omskie Krylia	2:1 OT ✺
11.09.25	Tambov - SKA-VMF	2:3 OT ✺
09.09.25	Rostov - SKA-VMF	3:0 ✺
07.09.25	Buran Voronezh - SKA-VMF	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWWLL
- Rubin Tyumen
VHL
19.09.25	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Rubin Tyumen	1:0 ✺
12.09.25	Rubin Tyumen - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	1:3 ✺
10.09.25	Rubin Tyumen - Chelny	1:2 OT ✺
08.09.25	Rubin Tyumen - Bars Kazan	4:0 ✺
06.09.25	Rubin Tyumen - CSK VVS Samara	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
03.04.25	SKA-VMF - Rubin Tyumen	3:1
01.04.25	Rubin Tyumen - SKA-VMF	2:1
29.03.25	SKA-VMF - Rubin Tyumen	3:2
27.03.25	SKA-VMF - Rubin Tyumen	4:2
24.03.25	Rubin Tyumen - SKA-VMF	2:4
22.03.25	Rubin Tyumen - SKA-VMF	4:2
06.01.25	Rubin Tyumen - SKA-VMF	2:1

SKA-VMF - Rubin Tyumen