Match Info

VHL

Date: 12 October 2026, Monday


	Ryazan		Chelmet

	1	X	2
	2.44	3.68	2.19
	2.35	3.55	2.12
	2.32	3.92	2.59	Watch
	2.29	3.8	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.42)	3.74 ↓ (3.8)	2.34 ↓ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ryazan
38%

Draw
23.9%

Chelmet
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

24.6%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

26%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ryazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Chelmet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryazan than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelmet than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Ryazan - Chelmet Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Chelmet will win (votes: 1 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chelmet (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
1. Botov M. (G)	93. Mosharov D. (G)
9. Sidnev K.	81. Isakov Y.
79. Isayev I. (A)	26. Kovalenko A.
88. Yakovlev D.	36. Kisakov A.
24. Zhukenov D.	73. Mits Z.
10. Knyazev A. (A)	29. Mokin M. (A)
Line 2
8. Paramonov A.	80. Semenikhin M.
45. Alyayev A. (C)	28. Potapov F.
80. Koshurnikov K.	50. Yekimov N.
66. Akhunov T.	57. Telegin N.
15. Krivolapov N.	46. Shaveko V. (A)
Line 3
4. Slepkov I.	86. Sivirchukov V.
26. Petrikov Y.	35. Kosachyov Y.
41. Yerofeyev A.	98. Kolodiy L.
38. Poyarkov D.	90. Golovnyov Y.
7. Baldayev D.	97. Matyushin A.
Line 4
90. Salov Y.	24. Yerofeyev M.
98. Levinsky A.	92. Gallyamov A.
85. Styozhkin I.	14. Zinovyev I. (C)
25. Petrov G.	95. Aglamzyanov R.
	44. Kozhevnikov R.
Substitutes
31. Kudashev D. (G)	30. Utenkov D. (G)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ryazan won 3.

Recent results have been tough for Ryazan (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Chelmet has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Ryazan may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Ryazan has recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 33:44 (averaging 1.7:2.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ryazan against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with 19:24 goals (averaging 1.7:2.2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
18	Ryazan	14	1	3	4	6	22:32	12
27	Chelmet Chelyabinsk	10	2	1	2	5	20:36	8

Last Results with these Odds

Ryazan - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 38.56%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Chelmet - the odds 2.53 are the expected chance of winning is 36.88%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Ryazan
VHL
10.10.26	Ryazan - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	4:3 penalties ✺
08.10.26	Ryazan - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	2:3 AET ✺
03.10.26	Molot Perm - Ryazan	1:0 ✺
01.10.26	Toros Neftekamsk - Ryazan	3:0 ✺
29.09.26	Izhstal - Ryazan	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLLL
- HC Chelmet
VHL
04.10.26	Chelmet - Bars Kazan	3:4 ✺
02.10.26	Chelmet - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	4:2 ✺
30.09.26	Chelmet - CSK VVS Samara	4:5 AET ✺
24.09.26	Khimik - Chelmet	6:0 ✺
22.09.26	Zvezda Moscow - Chelmet	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
28.02.26	Chelmet - Ryazan	1:2
18.09.25	Ryazan - Chelmet	3:1
09.01.25	Ryazan - Chelmet	1:3
06.11.24	Chelmet - Ryazan	0:1
16.01.24	Chelmet - Ryazan	1:0 penalties
05.10.23	Ryazan - Chelmet	1:4
04.12.22	Ryazan - Chelmet	3:2 penalties

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