Match Info

HockeyAllsvenskan

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday

Location: Scaniarinken (Södertälje)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	TV4 Play


	Södertälje		Almtuna IS

	1	X	2
	1.75	4.5	3.7
	1.8	4.34	3.69
	1.67	4.29	4.09	Watch
	1.78	4.05	3.57	Watch
	1.8	4.4	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.72)	4.32 ↓ (4.35)	3.73 ↓ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Södertälje
53.2%

Draw
21.7%

Almtuna IS
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

21.4%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

20.2%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Södertälje has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Almtuna IS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Södertälje than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almtuna IS than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Södertälje - Almtuna IS Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
73. Harenstam L. (G)	31. Andren V. (G)
82. Laavainen R.	3. Hammarlund E.
27. Norbe D.	9. Burger E.
45. Dyk S.	14. Oby-Olsen M.
20. Costmar A.	71. Stockselius L.
8. Wia W.	23. Hellberg H.
Line 2
15. Carlson A.	36. Lereback L. (A)
44. Arell N. (A)	4. Aronsson V. (C)
23. Eriksson W.	18. Eriksson A.
9. Zackrisson P. (C)	29. Smith L.
17. Ashton C.	96. Proos W.
Line 3
10. Ohrqvist F.	8. Eriksson K.
5. Ahnelov J.	50. Udd A.
33. Lindback M. (A)	90. Gronhagen J.
16. Engaras F.	40. Ohlsson A.
12. Liljegren V.	13. Schlyter F. (A)
Line 4
21. Windlert F.	6. Georgsson L.
28. Hesselvall A.	20. Thulin J.
71. Sterner K.	17. Pentler O.
88. Holst-Persson F.	21. Wersall M.
Substitutes
25. Dani A.	45. Akezon L. (G)
39. Hakansson O. (G)	12. Stahl O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
10:48, 0 - 1, Proos W. (Penalty Shot),
3rd Period (2 - 0)
06:14, 1 - 1, Costmar A. (G), Wia W. (A), Arell N. (A2)
19:39, 2 - 1, Lindback M. (G), Dyk S. (A), Liljegren V. (A2)

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone HockeyAllsvenskan (Play Out: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ HockeyAllsvenskan (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Södertälje won 4.

Södertälje is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Almtuna has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Almtuna may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Almtuna has had a series of home games.

In this match, Södertälje is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Södertälje won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 55:41. (average 2.8:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Södertälje won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 36:24. (average 3.3:2.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Södertälje - the odds 1.72 are the expected chance of winning is 54.33%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Södertälje SK
Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan
19.11.25	Kalmar - Södertälje	2:1 ✺
15.11.25	Södertälje - AIK	1:2 ✺
14.11.25	BIK Karlskoga - Södertälje	3:1 ✺
12.11.25	Södertälje - Nybro Vikings	3:5 ✺
08.11.25	Södertälje - Modo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLLLW
- Almtuna IS
Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan
19.11.25	Almtuna IS - Björklöven	1:5 ✺
16.11.25	Troja Ljungby - Almtuna IS	3:4 OT ✺
14.11.25	Almtuna IS - Nybro Vikings	3:2 ✺
12.11.25	Almtuna IS - Mora	3:2 ✺
02.11.25	Almtuna IS - BIK Karlskoga	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan
17.10.25	Södertälje - Almtuna IS	1:2 penalties
28.02.25	Almtuna IS - Södertälje	0:2
19.01.25	Södertälje - Almtuna IS	3:1
27.11.24	Almtuna IS - Södertälje	1:3
02.10.24	Södertälje - Almtuna IS	5:2
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
13.09.24	Södertälje - Almtuna IS	5:4 OT
Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan
21.02.24	Almtuna IS - Södertälje	2:1 OT

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