Match Info

VHL

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: Khokkeynyy Gorod (Saint Petersburg)


	SKA-VMF		Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk

	1	X	2
	3.42	3.8	1.96
	3.38	3.84	1.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 ↑ (2.86)	3.82 ↑ (3.4)	1.96 ↓ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SKA-VMF
27.6%

Draw
24.5%

Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

27.5%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

26.7%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SKA-VMF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SKA-VMF than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

SKA VMF - Yugra Khanty Mansiysk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Saranchuk G. (G)	59. Sukhachyov V. (G)
27. Sapunov V.	4. Yelizarov A. (A)
47. Zelenov Y. (C)	72. Savchik K.
38. Gurzanov Y.	55. Goncharov N.
18. Nedopyokin N.	81. Spiridonov Y.
91. Lutfullin I.	37. Udot A.
Line 2
5. Yarullin A.	21. Kirpichnikov A.
68. Beshkorov K.	47. Medvedev P.
85. Kapchuk S.	33. Maklozyan Y.
17. Kabush M. (A)	15. Busarov G. (A)
97. Nugmanov A.	70. Rasseikin M.
Line 3
63. Anisimov S. (A)	89. Teryayev S. (C)
14. Shekhovtsov Y.	84. Spitsenko K.
96. Kabat M.	28. Kazakov M.
88. Lazutin D.	80. Maltsev M.
23. Osipov G.	91. Makeyev A.
Line 4
80. Gryaznov G.	26. Baranov V.
81. Slivchenko M.	13. Kadyshev K.
40. Proskurnin A.	17. Podkorytov A.
11. Gorbushin M.	66. Belyayev M.
Substitutes
82. Mamaladze D.	92. Gurevich I.
52. Moysevich P. (G)	50. Sokhatsky V. (G)
74. Podlyagin N. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
01:13, 0 - 1, Maltsev M. (G), Rasseikin M. (A),
03:01, 0 - 2, Podkorytov A. (G), Kirpichnikov A. (A), Busarov G. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
18:09, 0 - 3, Kadyshev K. (G), Belyayev M. (A), Podkorytov A. (A2)
18:22, 0 - 4, Goncharov N. (G), Spiridonov Y. (A), Udot A. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SKA-VMF won 3.

Recent performances by SKA-VMF have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Yugra is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

SKA-VMF may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Yugra has had a series of home games.

Yugra will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, SKA-VMF won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 54:58. (average 2.7:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, SKA-VMF won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 33:37. (average 2.8:3.1).

Last Results with these Odds

SKA-VMF - the odds 2.86 are the expected chance of winning is 32.64%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 39.9%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SKA-VMF St. Petersburg
VHL
21.09.25	SKA-VMF - Rubin Tyumen	1:5 ✺
19.09.25	SKA-VMF - Zauralie Kurgan	2:3 OT ✺
17.09.25	SKA-VMF - Omskie Krylia	2:1 OT ✺
11.09.25	Tambov - SKA-VMF	2:3 OT ✺
09.09.25	Rostov - SKA-VMF	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LLWWL
- Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk
VHL
21.09.25	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	1:6 ✺
14.09.25	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	2:1 penalties ✺
12.09.25	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Chelny	5:0 ✺
10.09.25	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Bars Kazan	2:1 ✺
08.09.25	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - CSK VVS Samara	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Ice Hockey
11.08.25	SKA-VMF - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	1:4
VHL
12.01.25	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - SKA-VMF	3:1
15.11.24	SKA-VMF - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	3:1
14.02.24	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - SKA-VMF	1:4
05.09.23	SKA-VMF - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	3:1
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
26.08.23	SKA-VMF - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	1:3
VHL
28.12.22	SKA-VMF - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	3:4

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