Match Info

Date: 23 March 2022, Wednesday


	SaPKo		Hermes Kokkola

	1	X	2
	2.4	4.25	2.3
	2.4	3.9	2.3
	2.43	4.1	2.35
	2.47	3.95	2.32
	2.51	3.86	2.33
	2.4	4	2.3
	2.51	4.2	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.13)	4.04 ↓ (4.07)	2.32 ↓ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SaPKo
37.6%

Draw
22.8%

Hermes Kokkola
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

22.6%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

23.1%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SaPKo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that SaPKo's form might have worsened.

Hermes Kokkola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hermes Kokkola's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SaPKo than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SaPKo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hermes Kokkola than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hermes Kokkola, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

SaPKo - Hermes Kokkola Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches SaPKo won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recently Hermes have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 25 head-to-head matches SaPKo won 16 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 70-66.

Including matches at home between the teams SaPKo won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 37-26.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SaPKo
Finnish Mestis
19.03.22	SaPKo - Forssan Palloseura	1:5 ✺
18.03.22	Kiekko-Vantaa - SaPKo	6:2 ✺
15.03.22	Hokki - SaPKo	3:4 ✺
12.03.22	SaPKo - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat	6:4 ✺
09.03.22	TuTo - SaPKo	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LLWWL
- Hermes Kokkola
Finnish Mestis
18.03.22	TuTo - Hermes Kokkola	2:3 ✺
17.03.22	Forssan Palloseura - Hermes Kokkola	2:3 ✺
12.03.22	Kiekko-Vantaa - Hermes Kokkola	4:1 ✺
11.03.22	Kiekko-Espoo - Hermes Kokkola	2:3 ✺
09.03.22	RoKi - Hermes Kokkola	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Mestis
25.02.22	Hermes Kokkola - SaPKo	3:0
11.12.21	Hermes Kokkola - SaPKo	3:5
08.10.21	SaPKo - Hermes Kokkola	2:0
07.02.20	Hermes Kokkola - SaPKo	5:2
10.01.20	SaPKo - Hermes Kokkola	2:0
04.12.19	Hermes Kokkola - SaPKo	3:0
23.11.19	SaPKo - Hermes Kokkola	4:1

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