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Current Win Probability
TuTo 58.1%
Draw 19.9%
Hermes Kokkola 22%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
52%
20.8%
27.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.8%
21.8%
28.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
TuTo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in TuTo's performance.
Hermes Kokkola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hermes Kokkola might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for TuTo than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with TuTo that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hermes Kokkola than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hermes Kokkola could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
TuTo - Hermes Kokkola Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Line 1
31. Helomaa J. (G)
79. Saarinen K. (G)
62. Kulmala F.
43. Heinonen O.
46. Kiukas P.
55. Vuorinen R.
15. Markkula S. (C)
48. Hult O.
11. Valila E.
51. Vahatalo J. (A)
22. Karnaranta V.
45. Ekman T.
Line 2
48. Happonen E.
77. Ahola A.
5. Rikkila H.
5. Tikkanen T.
94. Nordgren N.
86. Maki E.
71. Turunen R. (A)
73. Niinisto J.
19. Korhonen J. (A)
10. Takala E.
Line 3
44. Vuori T.
16. Cederberg E. (A)
3. Vuorinen V.
4. Lehtinen E.
90. Turppa T.
21. Pulli T.
34. Hameenaho V.
53. Ulvila A.
21. Juhola J.
92. Toivonen V.
Line 4
33. Nummelin R.
6. Lauri O.
28. Valila E.
17. Puikkonen T.
25. Lindholm L.
50. Rautiainen J. (C)
14. Lindholm V.
46. Honkasalo J.
Substitutes
37. Raikka E. (G)
30. Ahopelto J. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
02:58, 1 - 0, Markkula S. (G), Valila E. (A), Karnaranta V. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 2)
09:45, 1 - 1, Ahola A. (G), Ekman T. (A), Pulli T. (A2)
17:12, 1 - 2, Heinonen O. (G), Ekman T. (A), Ahola A. (A2)
18:12, 2 - 2, Vuori T. (G), Turppa T. (A), Karnaranta V. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (2 - 0)
1, Puikkonen T. (Penalty Shot),
1, Valila E. (Penalty Shot),
2, Heinonen O. (Penalty Shot),
2, Korhonen J. (Penalty Shot),
3, Hult O. (Penalty Shot),
3, Markkula S. (Penalty Shot),
4, Toivonen V. (Penalty Shot),
4, Turunen R. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TuTo won 3.
TuTo is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Hermes has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
TuTo could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with TuTo holding a narrow advantage.
Our forecast points to a victory for TuTo in today's match, at odds of 1.74.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, TuTo has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 66:50 (averaging 3.3:2.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for TuTo against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 33:18 goals (averaging 3.3:1.8 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
6
Hermes
13
4
1
4
4
36:41
18
Last Results with these Odds
TuTo - the odds 1.75 are the expected chance of winning is 51.95%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Finland
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Helomaa J. (G) 
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