Match Info

FINLAND: MESTIS

Date: 27 January 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo


	Forssan Palloseura		Hermes Kokkola

	1	X	2
	7	6	1.3
	7.25	6.1	1.29
	7	5.4	1.28
	8.17	6.48	1.28
	8	6	1.25
	7.11	6.1	1.3
	6.6	5.6	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.3 ↑ (4.6)	5.95 ↑ (5.75)	1.29 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forssan Palloseura
12.7%

Draw
15.5%

Hermes Kokkola
71.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.9%

15.9%

64.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19%

15.2%

67.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forssan Palloseura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Forssan Palloseura's form might have worsened.

Hermes Kokkola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hermes Kokkola's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forssan Palloseura than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Forssan Palloseura, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hermes Kokkola than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Forssan Palloseura - Hermes Kokkola Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches FPS won 3.

FPS has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Hermes is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hermes could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Hermes is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches FPS won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 30-27.

Including matches at home between the teams FPS won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16-15.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forssan Palloseura
Finnish Mestis
26.01.24	Forssan Palloseura - IPK	2:5 ✺
24.01.24	TuTo - Forssan Palloseura	3:2 ✺
20.01.24	IPK - Forssan Palloseura	5:0 ✺
19.01.24	Hokki - Forssan Palloseura	4:0 ✺
13.01.24	Forssan Palloseura - Imatran Ketterä	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Hermes Kokkola
Finnish Mestis
26.01.24	Hermes Kokkola - Koovee	6:1 ✺
23.01.24	RoKi - Hermes Kokkola	4:1 ✺
19.01.24	Hermes Kokkola - TuTo	5:2 ✺
17.01.24	Kiekko-Espoo - Hermes Kokkola	5:2 ✺
16.01.24	Jokerit - Hermes Kokkola	5:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Mestis
06.01.24	Hermes Kokkola - Forssan Palloseura	6:3
13.10.23	Forssan Palloseura - Hermes Kokkola	2:1 penalties
23.02.23	Forssan Palloseura - Hermes Kokkola	5:2
17.12.22	Hermes Kokkola - Forssan Palloseura	2:3 OT
30.11.22	Forssan Palloseura - Hermes Kokkola	4:5 penalties
08.10.22	Hermes Kokkola - Forssan Palloseura	2:1
17.03.22	Forssan Palloseura - Hermes Kokkola	2:3

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