Match Info

OHL

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Dow Event Center (Saginaw, MI)


	Saginaw Spirit		North Bay Battalion

	1	X	2
	2.47	4.15	2.27
	2.17	4.35	2.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.17)	4.25 ↓ (4.35)	2.4 ↓ (2.52)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saginaw Spirit
39.8%

Draw
21.7%

North Bay Battalion
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

21.1%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

21%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saginaw Spirit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

North Bay Battalion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saginaw Spirit than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Bay Battalion than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Papineau K. (G)	30. LIsson J. (G)
14. Barabanov E.	29. Amidovski L. (A)
6. Barch H.	11. Carey R.
72. Barnes B.	18. Dubrovtsev Y.
42. Cloutier J.	4. Enright A.
15. Gervais S. (A)	5. Greer K.
5. Glavin J. (A)	6. Harper B.
73. Guo J.	3. Kapageridis J.
13. Harmer C.	15. Kunopaski C.
4. Harper L.	19. Laird N. (A)
9. Jones G.	2. Manzo A.
98. Klepov N.	24. Moses S.
62. Pepoy B.	13. Pazii I.
43. Satan M.	22. Pereira J.
92. Sima N. (A)	21. Procyszyn E. (C)
21. Storch L.	20. Pronin A.
26. Theuer T.	25. Ride B. (A)
74. Wilson Z.	16. Vaughan P.
71. Zhilkin D. (A)	28. Wellenreiter N.
Substitutes
63. Shurygin S. (G)	34. McIvor M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
06:58, 1 - 0, Klepov N. (G), Guo J. (A), Zhilkin D. (A2)
13:56, 1 - 1, Carey R. (G), Pronin A. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
07:23, 1 - 2, Laird N. (G), Amidovski L. (A), Ride B. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 5)
05:16, 1 - 3, Pazii I. (G), Moses S. (A), Ride B. (A2)
08:40, 1 - 4, Moses S. (G), Procyszyn E. (A), Pereira J. (A2)
10:24, 1 - 5, Enright A. (G), Dubrovtsev Y. (A),
10:59, 1 - 6, Greer K. (G), Carey R. (A), Dubrovtsev Y. (A2)
17:11, 1 - 7, Wellenreiter N. (G), Pazii I. (A),

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saginaw won 3.

In recent matches, Saginaw has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

North Bay's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

North Bay may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Saginaw won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 84:52. (average 4.2:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Saginaw won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 43:25. (average 4.3:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Saginaw Spirit
OHL
07.11.25	Kitchener Rangers - Saginaw Spirit	5:2 ✺
02.11.25	Saginaw Spirit - Brantford Bulldogs	2:6 ✺
01.11.25	Saginaw Spirit - Windsor Spitfires	6:3 ✺
30.10.25	Saginaw Spirit - Flint Firebirds	1:5 ✺
26.10.25	Windsor Spitfires - Saginaw Spirit	5:6 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 LLWLW
- North Bay Battalion
OHL
07.11.25	Flint Firebirds - North Bay Battalion	9:3 ✺
02.11.25	North Bay Battalion - Niagara IceDogs	6:2 ✺
30.10.25	North Bay Battalion - Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds	1:4 ✺
26.10.25	Kitchener Rangers - North Bay Battalion	3:1 ✺
25.10.25	Brampton Steelheads - North Bay Battalion	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

OHL
02.03.25	North Bay Battalion - Saginaw Spirit	3:8
20.02.25	Saginaw Spirit - North Bay Battalion	5:1
23.02.24	Saginaw Spirit - North Bay Battalion	3:6
18.02.24	North Bay Battalion - Saginaw Spirit	3:5
24.02.23	Saginaw Spirit - North Bay Battalion	0:4
11.12.22	North Bay Battalion - Saginaw Spirit	4:2
23.02.20	North Bay Battalion - Saginaw Spirit	3:6

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