The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Saginaw Spirit 42.6%
Draw 21.2%
Flint Firebirds 36.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
42.5%
20.2%
37.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.4%
20.9%
38.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Saginaw Spirit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
Flint Firebirds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saginaw Spirit than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flint Firebirds than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Saginaw Spirit - Flint Firebirds Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Knowling B. (G)
74. Bennett T. (G)
72. Barnes B.
22. Anderson D. (A)
18. Bate D.
44. Beauchesne C.
42. Cloutier J.
91. Bleick Z.
95. Geldart G.
2. Bogas N.
14. George B.
27. Bonnyman J.
5. Glavin J. (A)
88. Cunningham R.
88. Hanrahan R.
65. Fellinger R. (A)
4. Harper L. (A)
14. Graziano L.
7. Khotkov G.
21. Guizzetti C.
86. Lauder K.
89. Hotles C.
24. Martyniuk T.
8. Klaucans M.
2. Meyer K.
10. Lombardi J. (C)
93. Milojevic A.
86. Murata C.
62. Pepoy B. (A)
79. Nutting L.
10. Savin D.
7. Paul J.
90. Schmidt S.
11. Smith B.
66. Wassilyn B.
81. Tessier X.
71. Zhilkin D. (C)
9. Williams C.
Substitutes
63. Shurygin S. (G)
55. Courville M. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 3)
04:32, 0 - 1, Klaucans M. (G), Williams C. (A), Hotles C. (A2)
08:26, 0 - 2, Lombardi J. (G), Klaucans M. (A), Bogas N. (A2)
11:27, 0 - 3, Smith B. (G), Williams C. (A), Nutting L. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
02:06, 1 - 3, Cloutier J. (G), Wassilyn B. (A),
14:55, 2 - 3, Wassilyn B. (G), Zhilkin D. (A), Martyniuk T. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
12:33, 3 - 3, George B. (G), Pepoy B. (A), Hanrahan R. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
01', 4 - 3, (Penalty Shot),
01', 4 - 4, (Penalty Shot),
02', (Penalty Shot),
02', 4 - 5, (Penalty Shot),
Penalties (1 - 2)
1, (Penalty Shot),
Preview
A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 4th in the Promotion - OHL Playoffs and 6th in the Promotion - OHL Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saginaw won 1.
Both teams are currently displaying solid and consistent form.
Flint could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Saginaw has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 83:80 (averaging 4.2:4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Saginaw against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 49:40 goals (averaging 4.5:3.6 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Saginaw Spirit - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 42.45%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.
Flint Firebirds - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 37.3%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
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Knowling B. (G) 
Bennett T. (G) 
Khotkov G. 
Klaucans M. 
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