Match Info

CANADA: QMJHL

Date: 14 December 2024, Saturday

Location: TD Station (Saint John, NB)


	Saint John Sea Dogs		Acadie-Bathurst Titan

	1	X	2
	2.97	3.69	2.2
	2.82	3.8	2.17	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↑ (2.53)	3.75 ↑ (3.7)	2.19 ↓ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saint John Sea Dogs
32.3%

Draw
25%

Acadie-Bathurst Titan
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

25.5%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

24.6%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saint John Sea Dogs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Acadie-Bathurst Titan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Acadie-Bathurst Titan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint John Sea Dogs than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Saint John Sea Dogs, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Acadie-Bathurst Titan than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Acadie-Bathurst Titan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Lineups

Line 1
29. Gravel C. (G)	34. Fleming J. (G)
27. Amyot B.	74. Perron E. (A)
2. Tivey N. (A)	8. Laberge N.
22. Yared W.	81. Sharkey D.
86. Groulx O.	29. Goguen T.
10. Morin Z.	98. Marmulak M.
Line 2
88. Scanzano C.	45. Clements H. (A)
72. Bilodeau N.	71. Reynolds W.
43. Beveridge E.	56. Lallier A.
44. Dube E.	18. Belanger L.
8. Rozzi D.	91. Huggan C. (C)
Line 3
3. Bonnet J.	2. Buteau F. (A)
48. Caputo G.	3. Daniele B.
14. Cross B.	7. Pilgrim-Edwards B.
91. Miller C.	79. St-Onge M.
16. Reynolds D.	88. Coulombe D.
Line 4
24. Beaulieu J.	16. Peddigrew T.
13. Schenk F.	11. Wood T.
73. Calder R.	13. Arsenault L.
Substitutes
31. Weeks E. (G)	35. Quimper S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
01:00, 1 - 0, Yared W. (G),
16:03, 1 - 1, Goguen T. (G), Clements H. (A), Huggan C. (A2)
2nd Period (3 - 3)
03:14, 1 - 2, Wood T. (G), Peddigrew T. (A), Buteau F. (A2)
04:23, 1 - 3, Belanger L. (G), Lallier A. (A), Laberge N. (A2)
04:37, 1 - 4, Belanger L. (G), Laberge N. (A), Perron E. (A2)
05:49, 2 - 4, Cross B. (G), Miller C. (A), Amyot B. (A2)
16:47, 3 - 4, Tivey N. (G), Yared W. (A), Reynolds D. (A2)
19:48, 4 - 4, Morin Z. (G), Groulx O. (A), Tivey N. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (1 - 0)
1, Rozzi D. (Penalty Shot),
1, Sharkey D. (Penalty Shot),
2, Yared W. (Penalty Shot),
2, Laberge N. (Penalty Shot),
3, Morin Z. (Penalty Shot),
3, Belanger L. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Saint John won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Saint John won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 76:73 (average 3.8:3.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Saint John won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 32:34 (average 3.6:3.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Saint John Sea Dogs
QMJHL
13.12.24	Saint John Sea Dogs - Cape Breton Screaming Eagles	5:4 OT ✺
08.12.24	Saint John Sea Dogs - Moncton Wildcats	2:3 ✺
06.12.24	Cape Breton Screaming Eagles - Saint John Sea Dogs	5:0 ✺
04.12.24	Saint John Sea Dogs - Acadie-Bathurst Titan	4:1 ✺
30.11.24	Halifax Mooseheads - Saint John Sea Dogs	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLLWL
- Acadie-Bathurst Titan
QMJHL
13.12.24	Moncton Wildcats - Acadie-Bathurst Titan	3:2 OT ✺
08.12.24	Acadie-Bathurst Titan - Halifax Mooseheads	2:1 OT ✺
06.12.24	Acadie-Bathurst Titan - Rouyn-Noranda Huskies	5:3 ✺
04.12.24	Saint John Sea Dogs - Acadie-Bathurst Titan	4:1 ✺
30.11.24	Acadie-Bathurst Titan - Cape Breton Screaming Eagles	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

QMJHL
04.12.24	Saint John Sea Dogs - Acadie-Bathurst Titan	4:1
16.11.24	Acadie-Bathurst Titan - Saint John Sea Dogs	2:1
20.10.24	Saint John Sea Dogs - Acadie-Bathurst Titan	3:4
18.10.24	Acadie-Bathurst Titan - Saint John Sea Dogs	0:3
03.10.24	Acadie-Bathurst Titan - Saint John Sea Dogs	3:6
14.03.24	Saint John Sea Dogs - Acadie-Bathurst Titan	2:1
02.02.24	Acadie-Bathurst Titan - Saint John Sea Dogs	5:3

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