Match Info

QMJHL

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Location: TD Station (Saint John, NB)


	Saint John Sea Dogs		Newfoundland Regiment

	1	X	2
	3.21	4.52	1.8
	3.25	4.2	1.75
	3.15	4.25	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↑ (3.08)	4.32 ↑ (4.23)	1.77 ↓ (1.8)

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saint John Sea Dogs
28.2%

Draw
20.9%

Newfoundland Regiment
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

21.2%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

23.5%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saint John Sea Dogs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Newfoundland Regiment has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint John Sea Dogs than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newfoundland Regiment than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Newfoundland Regiment, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Radkov A. (G)	35. Proulx A. (G)
2. Baldwin E.	13. Arsenault L.
91. Cote M. (A)	41. Danicek M.
26. Damphousse B.	40. Dwyer R.
9. Donovan A.	55. Girard B.
13. Drabczynski O.	29. Goguen T.
71. Duhamel O. (A)	8. Laberge N. (A)
81. Fullerton A. (A)	9. Larose J. (C)
28. Gauthier A.	98. Marmulak M.
86. Groulx O. (C)	77. Mathieu A.
54. Heroux N.	95. Michaud A.
19. Joseph A.	91. Norman Q.
21. Krayer M.	74. Perron E. (A)
44. Magnusson C.	7. Pilgrim-Edwards B.
10. Morin Z.	72. Pilote D.
8. Rozzi D.	71. Reynolds W.
23. Seymour J.	81. Sharkey D. (A)
3. Wasmer J.	16. Sinclair L.
22. Yared W.	88. Veitch B.
Substitutes
37. Courchesne R. (G)	31. Denault L. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
00:22, 1 - 0, Cote M. (G), Groulx O. (A),
02:56, 1 - 1, Sinclair L. (G), Laberge N. (A), Veitch B. (A2)
17:54, 2 - 1, Fullerton A. (G), Joseph A. (A), Duhamel O. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
04:18, 3 - 1, Groulx O. (G), Donovan A. (A), Joseph A. (A2)
04:53, 3 - 2, Michaud A. (G), Larose J. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 2)
06:29, 3 - 3, Larose J. (G), Danicek M. (A), Michaud A. (A2)
12:46, 3 - 4, Norman Q. (G), Larose J. (A),
19:47, 4 - 4, Groulx O. (G), Rozzi D. (A),
Overtime (0 - 1)
03:08, 4 - 5, Danicek M. (G), Michaud A. (A),

Preview

Recent form of Saint John has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Newfoundland has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Newfoundland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Newfoundland will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Saint John won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 3.5:5.5).

Including home match between the teams, Saint John won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5.

Last Results with these Odds

Saint John Sea Dogs - the odds 3.08 are the expected chance of winning is 29.1%, but this team recently wins 12% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Saint John Sea Dogs
QMJHL
06.02.26	Saint John Sea Dogs - Moncton Wildcats	2:5 ✺
01.02.26	Saint John Sea Dogs - Baie-Comeau Drakkar	0:2 ✺
31.01.26	Charlottetown Islanders - Saint John Sea Dogs	3:7 ✺
29.01.26	Moncton Wildcats - Saint John Sea Dogs	7:4 ✺
24.01.26	Saint John Sea Dogs - Sherbrooke Phoenix	3:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLWLL
- Newfoundland Regiment
QMJHL
06.02.26	Charlottetown Islanders - Newfoundland Regiment	2:5 ✺
31.01.26	Cape Breton Screaming Eagles - Newfoundland Regiment	2:3 penalties ✺
30.01.26	Cape Breton Screaming Eagles - Newfoundland Regiment	3:1 ✺
23.01.26	Newfoundland Regiment - Drummondville Voltigeurs	4:2 ✺
22.01.26	Newfoundland Regiment - Drummondville Voltigeurs	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

QMJHL
09.01.26	Saint John Sea Dogs - Newfoundland Regiment	4:5
24.10.25	Newfoundland Regiment - Saint John Sea Dogs	6:3

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