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Current Win Probability
Sakhalinskie Akuly 47.1%
Draw 23.2%
Spartak MAX 29.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40%
23.1%
36.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.7%
24.4%
38.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sakhalinskie Akuly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sakhalinskie Akuly's performance.
Spartak MAX has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Spartak MAX might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sakhalinskie Akuly than the current prediction. (-10.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sakhalinskie Akuly that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak MAX than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Spartak MAX could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sakhalinskie Akuly - Spartak MAX Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
88. Privalov A. (G)
50. Ivanov Y. (G)
33. Stashevsky N.
82. Sanin D.
47. Davydovsky Y. (A)
83. Yevplov S.
8. Plekhov A. (C)
9. Kachalov Y.
97. Zheltov Y.
16. Pivchulin G.
22. Matveev D.
78. Murashev Y.
Line 2
75. Kuchiyev R.
5. Patsera V.
82. Bannov D.
73. Kazakov K.
92. Lysenko M.
97. Ogorodnikov Y.
86. Khalilov M.
8. Safronov A.
17. Cherepanov S. (A)
79. Vuichenko I.
Line 3
44. Sheptunov A.
88. Popov M.
21. Kuznetsov T.
43. Gureyev D.
55. Vakhrushev M.
87. Kromberg M.
48. Kobets I.
27. Zaripov F.
9. Kartashov N.
71. Vasilyev D.
Line 4
96. Ignatenko V.
14. Karacerli
16. Aksenenko A.
75. Ustsov D.
99. Sopko T.
33. Raitsky M.
6. Shcherban K.
18. Anisimov D.
2. Levandovsky K.
99. Kokorin V.
Substitutes
52. Khachaturyan S. (G)
30. Shapovalov F. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
15:15, 0 - 1, Vuichenko I. (G), Anisimov D. (A), Murashev Y. (A2)
17:18, 1 - 1, Vakhrushev M. (G), Kartashov N. (A), Stashevsky N. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
06:01, 2 - 1, Levandovsky K. (G), Shcherban K. (A), Sopko T. (A2)
08:01, 3 - 1, Kartashov N. (G), Kuchiyev R. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
14:55, 4 - 1, Zheltov Y. (G), Matveev D. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sakhalinskie Akuly won 4.
Sakhalinskie Akuly has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Spartak MAX is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Sakhalinskie Akuly could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Sakhalinskie Akuly has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
Sakhalinskie Akuly is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Sakhalinskie Akuly has recorded 5 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 20:16 (averaging 3.3:2.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Sakhalinskie Akuly against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 12:8 goals (averaging 4:2.7 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Sakhalinskie Akuly - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 39.97%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.
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Privalov A. (G) 
Yevplov S. 
Karacerli 
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