The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Diego Gulls 36.6%
Draw 22.4%
Bakersfield Condors 41%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.1%
22.6%
36.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.9%
25.2%
32.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Diego Gulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
Bakersfield Condors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego Gulls than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Diego Gulls, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bakersfield Condors than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bakersfield Condors, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
San Diego Gulls - Bakersfield Condors Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Clang C. (G)
30. Pickard C. (G)
12. Bailey J.
82. Akey B.
15. Brouillard N.
66. Brown M.
25. Burke C.
73. Carfagna D.
22. Carpenter R. (C)
64. Clattenburg C.
28. Caulfield J.
19. D'Amato D.
29. Colangelo S.
55. Dineen C. (A)
5. Hinds T.
39. Griffith S. (C)
41. Kinal R.
52. Hamblin J. (A)
6. Luneau T.
53. Howard I.
37. McKeown R. (A)
23. Hutson Q.
26. McQueen R.
15. Jarventie R.
21. Myatovic N.
63. Keppen E.
11. Mysak J.
37. Leppanen A.
13. Nesterenko N.
57. Marjala V.
16. Pastujov S.
43. Petrov M.
18. Phillips M. (A)
8. Poulin S.
19. Sidorov Y.
77. Prokop L.
7. Solberg S.
75. Regula A.
Substitutes
30. Suchanek T. (G)
90. Tomkins M. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (5 - 2)
01:42, 0 - 1, Hutson Q. (G), Prokop L. (A),
03:16, 0 - 2, Keppen E. (G), Clattenburg C. (A), Prokop L. (A2)
05:12, 1 - 2, Carpenter R. (G), Phillips M. (A), Pastujov S. (A2)
05:25, 2 - 2, Burke C. (G), Myatovic N. (A),
08:37, 3 - 2, Bailey J. (G), Colangelo S. (A), Solberg S. (A2)
15:43, 4 - 2, Bailey J. (G), Carpenter R. (A), Hinds T. (A2)
19:16, 5 - 2, Pastujov S. (G), Carpenter R. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
04:33, 5 - 3, Hutson Q. (G), Prokop L. (A),
12:32, 6 - 3, Phillips M. (G), McQueen R. (A), Colangelo S. (A2)
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Diego won 4.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Recently, Bakersfield has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, San Diego won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 74:77. (average 3.7:3.9).
Including home matches between the teams, San Diego won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 45:47. (average 4.5:4.7).
Last Results with these Odds
San Diego Gulls - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 41.13%, but this team recently wins 21% of matches with these odds.
Bakersfield Condors - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 36.31%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
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Clang C. (G) 
Pickard C. (G) 
Bailey J. 
Jarventie R. 
Mysak J. 
Petrov M. 
Sidorov Y. 
Solberg S. 
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