The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sarnia Sting 59.7%
Draw 18.5%
Oshawa Generals 21.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.5%
19.8%
25.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51%
21.2%
27.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sarnia Sting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sarnia Sting's performance.
Oshawa Generals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarnia Sting than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sarnia Sting that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oshawa Generals than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oshawa Generals could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sarnia Sting - Oshawa Generals Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
34. Tkach-Tkachenko I. (G)
30. Cholette J. (G)
6. Aucoin C. (A)
16. Blaseg B.
33. Aucoin K.
98. Cloutier K.
18. Campbell D.
43. Costello C.
13. Chadwick C.
12. Franssen H. (C)
84. Challenger T.
7. Funck L.
17. Di Iorio A. (C)
37. Hedley R.
41. Emerton C.
21. Hinde T.
71. Gaughan C.
28. Huyck B.
27. Gulbrandsen J.
78. Kalto O.
26. Hawery L.
86. Laschon L.
15. Herres W.
18. Malthaler J.
53. Holmes P. (A)
3. Murnane B. (A)
9. Jaworski S.
79. O'Donnell A.
24. Katolicky S.
23. Pape M.
93. Lammens B.
10. Rogowski B. (A)
55. Manza M.
96. Taylor C.
2. Sgro A.
11. Timmerman A.
14. Van Volsen J. (A)
13. Yingst G.
11. Walos E.
Substitutes
31. Osipenko K. (G)
32. Humphries M. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
14:00, 1 - 0, Katolicky S. (G), Gaughan C. (A), Aucoin C. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
00:46, 2 - 0, Di Iorio A. (G), Van Volsen J. (A), Walos E. (A2)
19:21, 3 - 0, Manza M. (G), Van Volsen J. (A), Emerton C. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
15:13, 4 - 0, Hawery L. (G), Walos E. (A), Di Iorio A. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarnia won 2.
In recent outings, Sarnia has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Oshawa is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Sarnia may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Sarnia has faced a series of away games on the road.
Sarnia carries the favorite tag into this contest.
Our forecast points to a victory for Sarnia in today's match, at odds of 1.67.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Sarnia has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 74:77 (averaging 3.7:3.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Sarnia against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with 30:38 goals (averaging 3:3.8 per game).
Watch
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Tkach-Tkachenko I. (G) 
Cholette J. (G) 
Aucoin C. (A) 
Funck L. 
Gulbrandsen J. 
Kalto O. 
Katolicky S. 
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