Match Info

OHL

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Progressive Auto Sales Arena (Sarnia, ON)


	Sarnia Sting		Ottawa 67s

	1	X	2
	5.26	6.18	1.39
	5.48	5.99	1.36	Watch
	7.5	5.75	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.08 ↑ (5.46)	5.97 ↑ (5.64)	1.33 ↓ (1.38)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarnia Sting
15.2%

Draw
15.5%

Ottawa 67s
69.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.9%

16.4%

66.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.8%

18.2%

60.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarnia Sting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Ottawa 67s has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarnia Sting than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ottawa 67s than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ottawa 67s, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Quinlan P. (G)	1. Fetterolf R. (G)
6. Aucoin C.	38. Bedkowski D.
33. Aucoin K.	23. Bewick C. (A)
40. Beamish L.	12. Bowes S.
84. Challenger T.	17. Chitaroni B.
17. Di Iorio A. (C)	34. Ekberg F.
81. Edwards B. (A)	19. Eshkawkogan K.
71. Gaughan C.	29. Foster C. (C)
10. Hall C.	25. Houben Z.
16. Hibbert D.	11. Kingwell S.
9. Jaworski S.	9. Krawczyk B.
93. Lammens B.	22. Kuhta J.
55. Manza M.	8. Marrelli F. (A)
12. Pickell B. (A)	28. McCue S.
7. Reese J.	13. Ruml O.
19. Solomon H.	16. Sima N.
14. Van Volsen J.	24. Spitznagel T.
11. Walos E.	37. Vandenberg T.
5. Young M. (A)	10. Whitehead N.
Substitutes
31. Osipenko K. (G)	32. Nelson J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 3)
04:29, 0 - 1, McCue S. (G), Spitznagel T. (A), Houben Z. (A2)
05:06, 0 - 2, Marrelli F. (G), Ekberg F. (A), Whitehead N. (A2)
13:03, 0 - 3, Vandenberg T. (G), Spitznagel T. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
19:17, 0 - 4, Houben Z. (G), Spitznagel T. (A), McCue S. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
09:35, 0 - 5, Chitaroni B. (G), Bewick C. (A), Bedkowski D. (A2)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: )).

Ottawa is Qualified for OHL (Play Offs )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarnia won 2.

Recent form of Sarnia has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ottawa's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sarnia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ottawa is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sarnia won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 63:100. (average 3.2:5).

Including home matches between the teams, Sarnia won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 43:44. (average 4.3:4.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarnia Sting
OHL
27.02.26	Sarnia Sting - Barrie Colts	1:2 OT ✺
21.02.26	Saginaw Spirit - Sarnia Sting	4:7 ✺
20.02.26	Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds - Sarnia Sting	6:3 ✺
18.02.26	Sarnia Sting - Guelph Storm	2:3 OT ✺
16.02.26	Sarnia Sting - Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds	5:6 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWLLL
- Ottawa 67s
OHL
28.02.26	Flint Firebirds - Ottawa 67s	4:3 penalties ✺
26.02.26	Saginaw Spirit - Ottawa 67s	2:8 ✺
22.02.26	Ottawa 67s - North Bay Battalion	2:4 ✺
20.02.26	Ottawa 67s - Niagara IceDogs	7:1 ✺
16.02.26	Ottawa 67s - Barrie Colts	5:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

OHL
14.11.25	Ottawa 67s - Sarnia Sting	9:3
06.12.24	Ottawa 67s - Sarnia Sting	6:1
22.11.24	Sarnia Sting - Ottawa 67s	5:4 penalties
02.02.24	Sarnia Sting - Ottawa 67s	4:3 penalties
12.11.23	Ottawa 67s - Sarnia Sting	6:3
05.02.23	Sarnia Sting - Ottawa 67s	3:4
15.01.23	Ottawa 67s - Sarnia Sting	2:0

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