Match Info

NHL

Date: 28 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: Climate Pledge Arena (Seattle, WA)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Seattle Kraken		Montreal Canadiens

	1	X	2
	2.7	4	2.25	Watch
	2.59	4.33	2.29
	2.43	4.18	2.46	Watch
	2.66	4.46	2.32
	2.63	4.33	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.43)	4.26 ↑ (4.18)	2.31 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Seattle Kraken
36.6%

Draw
22.3%

Montreal Canadiens
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

22.6%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

22.5%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Seattle Kraken has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Montreal Canadiens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seattle Kraken than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montreal Canadiens than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	25%	41.7%

Seattle Kraken - Montreal Canadiens Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Seattle will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Montreal will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Montreal: 13.8% – 69.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Seattle (votes: 3 - 60%). Montreal (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 5.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
35. Daccord J. (G)	75. Dobes J. (G)
6. Larsson A.	53. Dobson N.
29. Dunn V.	8. Matheson M.
7. Eberle J.	20. Slafkovsky J.
10. Beniers M.	14. Suzuki N.
77. Catton B.	13. Caufield C.
Line 2
62. Montour B.	48. Hutson L.
55. Lindgren R.	47. Struble J.
20. Tolvanen E.	93. Demidov I.
9. Stephenson C.	91. Kapanen O.
27. Marchment M.	15. Newhook A.
Line 3
24. Oleksiak J.	45. Carrier A.
28. Mahura J.	72. Xhekaj A.
38. Nyman J.	11. Gallagher B.
51. Wright S.	71. Evans J.
17. Schwartz J.	17. Anderson J.
Line 4
26. Winterton R.	90. Veleno J.
59. Meyers B.	77. Dach K.
12. Kartye T.	76. Bolduc Z.
Substitutes
30. Murray M. (G)	35. Montembeault S. (G)
Coaches
. Lambert L.	. St. Louis M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
10:25, 0 - 1, Caufield C. (G), Suzuki N. (A), Dobson N. (A2)
10:45, Caufield C. (2 min),
16:17, Lindgren R. (2 min),
17:28, 0 - 2, Slafkovsky J. (G), Caufield C. (A), Suzuki N. (A2)
18:58, Veleno J. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
13:59, Bolduc Z. (2 min),
3rd Period (3 - 1)
04:09, Schwartz J. (2 min),
05:55, 0 - 3, Newhook A. (G), Dach K. (A), Dobson N. (A2)
07:57, Struble J. (2 min),
08:57, 1 - 3, Montour B. (G), Catton B. (A), Marchment M. (A2)
13:20, Dach K. (2 min),
13:20, Nyman J. (2 min),
15:17, 2 - 3, Wright S. (G), Montour B. (A), Tolvanen E. (A2)
18:17, 3 - 3, Montour B. (G), Dunn V. (A), Schwartz J. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
00:44, 3 - 4, Caufield C. (G), Suzuki N. (A), Hutson L. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Seattle won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, Seattle has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Seattle: Evans R. (Upper-Body Injury) Gaudreau F. (Lower-Body Injury) Kakko K. (Broken Hand) McCann J. (Lower-Body Injury)

There will not play in Montreal: Guhle K. (Lower-Body Injury) Laine P. (Abdominal strain)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Seattle won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 35:28. (average 3.9:3.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Seattle won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 3.3:3.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Montreal Canadiens - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 38.45%, but this team recently wins 15% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Seattle Kraken
NHL
25.10.25	Seattle Kraken - Edmonton Oilers	3:2 ✺
23.10.25	Winnipeg Jets - Seattle Kraken	0:3 ✺
21.10.25	Washington Capitals - Seattle Kraken	4:1 ✺
20.10.25	Philadelphia Flyers - Seattle Kraken	5:2 ✺
18.10.25	Toronto Maple Leafs - Seattle Kraken	3:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 WWLLW
- Montreal Canadiens
NHL
25.10.25	Vancouver Canucks - Montreal Canadiens	3:4 ✺
23.10.25	Edmonton Oilers - Montreal Canadiens	6:5 ✺
22.10.25	Calgary Flames - Montreal Canadiens	1:2 OT ✺
20.10.25	Montreal Canadiens - Buffalo Sabres	4:2 ✺
18.10.25	Montreal Canadiens - New York Rangers	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

NHL
14.10.25	Montreal Canadiens - Seattle Kraken	5:4 OT
12.03.25	Seattle Kraken - Montreal Canadiens	5:4 OT
29.10.24	Montreal Canadiens - Seattle Kraken	2:8
24.03.24	Seattle Kraken - Montreal Canadiens	1:5
04.12.23	Montreal Canadiens - Seattle Kraken	4:2
09.01.23	Montreal Canadiens - Seattle Kraken	0:4
06.12.22	Seattle Kraken - Montreal Canadiens	2:4

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