Match Info

NHL

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Scotiabank Arena (Toronto, ON)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Germany	NHL.tv
Iceland	Viaplay
Mexico	Disney+, Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	NHL Network
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Toronto Maple Leafs		Seattle Kraken

	1	X	2
	1.77	4.25	3.8	Watch
	1.86	4.3	3.6
	1.92	4.38	3.23	Watch
	2.04	4.62	3.09
	1.77	4.5	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (1.92)	4.41 ↑ (4.38)	3.46 ↑ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Toronto Maple Leafs
50.9%

Draw
21.6%

Seattle Kraken
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

21.6%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

23.6%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toronto Maple Leafs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Seattle Kraken has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Seattle Kraken than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	18.2%	36.4%

Toronto Maple Leafs - Seattle Kraken Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Seattle will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Toronto: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Toronto (votes: 2 - 50%). Seattle (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 6.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

#ad

Lineups

Line 1
41. Stolarz A. (G)	35. Daccord J. (G)
25. Carlo B.	6. Larsson A.
44. Rielly M. (A)	29. Dunn V.
53. Cowan E.	7. Eberle J. (C)
34. Matthews A. (C)	10. Beniers M. (A)
23. Knies M.	19. McCann J.
Line 2
8. Tanev C.	8. Fleury C.
22. McCabe J.	55. Lindgren R.
88. Nylander W.	20. Tolvanen E.
91. Tavares J. (A)	9. Stephenson C.
63. Maccelli M.	17. Schwartz J. (A)
Line 3
95. Ekman-Larsson O.	24. Oleksiak J.
2. Benoit S.	28. Mahura J.
74. McMann B.	26. Winterton R.
11. Domi M.	51. Wright S.
89. Robertson N.	27. Marchment M.
Line 4
81. Joshua D.	38. Nyman J.
55. Roy N.	15. Hayden J.
18. Lorentz S.	12. Kartye T.
Substitutes
30. Primeau C. (G)	31. Grubauer P. (G)
Coaches
. Berube C.	. Lambert L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
05:38, Roy N. (2 min),
07:29, 0 - 1, Wright S. (G), Schwartz J. (A), Marchment M. (A2)
08:58, Dunn V. (2 min),
14:56, 1 - 1, Rielly M. (G), Matthews A. (A), Knies M. (A2)
16:44, McMann B. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 2)
04:04, Dunn V. (2 min),
14:19, 1 - 2, Nyman J. (G), Marchment M. (A), Wright S. (A2)
16:01, 2 - 2, Tavares J. (G), Nylander W. (A),
17:44, 2 - 3, Dunn V. (G), Tolvanen E. (A), Stephenson C. (A2)
19:05, Marchment M. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
01:17, Lindgren R. (2 min),
01:21, 3 - 3, Tavares J. (G), Nylander W. (A),
Overtime (0 - 1)
03:06, 3 - 4, Mahura J. (G), Eberle J. (A), Stephenson C. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 5.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Seattle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Toronto has had a series of home games.

Toronto is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Toronto: Laughton S. (Lower-Body Injury) Lorentz S. (Upper-Body Injury) Woll J. (Personal Reasons)

There will not play in Seattle: Evans R. (Upper-Body Injury) Gaudreau F. (Injury) Kakko K. (Broken Hand)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 32:18. (average 4:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:13. (average 3.8:3.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Toronto Maple Leafs - the odds 1.92 are the expected chance of winning is 49.19%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toronto Maple Leafs
NHL
16.10.25	Toronto Maple Leafs - New York Rangers	2:1 OT ✺
14.10.25	Toronto Maple Leafs - Nashville Predators	7:4 ✺
13.10.25	Toronto Maple Leafs - Detroit Red Wings	2:3 ✺
11.10.25	Detroit Red Wings - Toronto Maple Leafs	6:3 ✺
08.10.25	Toronto Maple Leafs - Montreal Canadiens	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLLW
- Seattle Kraken
NHL
16.10.25	Ottawa Senators - Seattle Kraken	4:3 penalties ✺
14.10.25	Montreal Canadiens - Seattle Kraken	5:4 OT ✺
11.10.25	Seattle Kraken - Vegas Golden Knights	2:1 OT ✺
09.10.25	Seattle Kraken - Anaheim Ducks	3:1 ✺
01.10.25	Seattle Kraken - Edmonton Oilers	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

NHL
06.02.25	Seattle Kraken - Toronto Maple Leafs	1:3
31.10.24	Toronto Maple Leafs - Seattle Kraken	4:1
21.01.24	Seattle Kraken - Toronto Maple Leafs	1:3
30.11.23	Toronto Maple Leafs - Seattle Kraken	4:3 penalties
26.02.23	Seattle Kraken - Toronto Maple Leafs	1:5
05.01.23	Toronto Maple Leafs - Seattle Kraken	1:5
08.03.22	Toronto Maple Leafs - Seattle Kraken	6:4

Upcoming Matches