Match Info

NHL

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Climate Pledge Arena (Seattle, WA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	NHL.tv
Iceland	Viaplay
Italy	DAZN Italia
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
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Sweden	Viaplay
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World	NHL.tv


	Seattle Kraken		Ottawa Senators

	1	X	2
	3.25	4	2	Watch
	3.15	4.05	2.02
	3.13	4.4	2
	3.09	4.39	2	Watch
	2.9	3.9	2
	3.17	4.26	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (2.43)	4.17 ↑ (4.11)	2.02 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Seattle Kraken
30.4%

Draw
22.7%

Ottawa Senators
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

23%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

25.1%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Seattle Kraken has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Seattle Kraken's form might have worsened.

Ottawa Senators has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ottawa Senators's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seattle Kraken than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Seattle Kraken, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ottawa Senators than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ottawa Senators, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Seattle Kraken - Ottawa Senators Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Seattle (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
35. Daccord J. (G)	35. Ullmark L. (G)
6. Larsson A. (A)	2. Zub A.
29. Dunn V.	85. Sanderson J.
7. Eberle J. (C)	28. Giroux C. (A)
10. Beniers M. (A)	18. Stutzle T.
19. McCann J.	19. Batherson D.
Line 2
62. Montour B.	3. Jensen N.
24. Oleksiak J.	72. Chabot T. (A)
20. Tolvanen E.	71. Greig R.
9. Stephenson C.	24. Cozens D.
17. Schwartz J.	7. Tkachuk B. (C)
Line 3
41. Evans R.	10. Spence J.
55. Lindgren R.	43. Kleven T.
84. Kakko K.	22. Amadio M.
51. Wright S.	12. Pinto S.
27. Catton B.	21. Cousins N.
Line 4
63. Melanson J.	20. Zetterlund F.
89. Gaudreau F.	89. Eller L.
59. Meyers B.	37. Foegele W.
Substitutes
31. Grubauer P. (G)	47. Reimer J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 2)
08:45, 1 - 0, Melanson J. (G), Meyers B. (A), Winterton R. (A2)
09:19, 1 - 1, Kleven T. (G), Pinto S. (A), Amadio M. (A2)
13:35, 1 - 2, Cozens D. (G), Chabot T. (A), Jensen N. (A2)
14:51, Pinto S. (2 min),
14:55, Eberle J. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 2)
01:34, 1 - 3, Pinto S. (G), Zub A. (A), Cousins N. (A2)
03:33, Tolvanen E. (2 min),
10:09, 1 - 4, Amadio M. (G), Pinto S. (A), Cousins N. (A2)
15:00, 2 - 4, Tolvanen E. (G),
3rd Period (2 - 3)
02:42, 2 - 5, Foegele W. (G), Eller L. (A),
03:58, 2 - 6, Stutzle T. (G), Batherson D. (A),
04:50, Pinto S. (2 min),
07:24, 2 - 7, Tkachuk B. (G), Chabot T. (A),
10:16, 3 - 7, Beniers M. (G), Fleury C. (A), Eberle J. (A2)
16:35, Kleven T. (5 min),
16:35, Kleven T. (2 min),
16:35, McCann J. (2 min),
16:58, Eller L. (2 min),
17:45, 4 - 7, Montour B. (G), Dunn V. (A), Eberle J. (A2)

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Seattle won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Seattle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Ottawa has had a series of away games.

Ottawa could have a small edge in this match.

There are questionable in Ottawa: Matinpalo N. (Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Seattle won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:28. (average 2.9:3.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Seattle won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 3:2.8).

Outrights of NHL for now

Ottawa Senators: 2.53% Seattle Kraken: 0.3%

Last Results with these Odds

Ottawa Senators - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 38.11%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Seattle Kraken
NHL
04.03.26	Seattle Kraken - St. Louis Blues	2:3 ✺
02.03.26	Seattle Kraken - Carolina Hurricanes	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Seattle Kraken - Vancouver Canucks	5:1 ✺
26.02.26	St. Louis Blues - Seattle Kraken	5:1 ✺
25.02.26	Dallas Stars - Seattle Kraken	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWWLL
- Ottawa Senators
NHL
05.03.26	Calgary Flames - Ottawa Senators	1:4 ✺
03.03.26	Edmonton Oilers - Ottawa Senators	5:4 OT ✺
28.02.26	Toronto Maple Leafs - Ottawa Senators	2:5 ✺
26.02.26	Ottawa Senators - Detroit Red Wings	1:2 OT ✺
05.02.26	Philadelphia Flyers - Ottawa Senators	1:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

NHL
16.10.25	Ottawa Senators - Seattle Kraken	4:3 penalties
17.12.24	Seattle Kraken - Ottawa Senators	0:3
02.11.24	Ottawa Senators - Seattle Kraken	3:0
04.01.24	Seattle Kraken - Ottawa Senators	4:1
02.12.23	Ottawa Senators - Seattle Kraken	2:0
09.03.23	Seattle Kraken - Ottawa Senators	4:5
07.01.23	Ottawa Senators - Seattle Kraken	4:8

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