Match Info

Date: 13 October 2026, Tuesday


	Severstal Cherepovets		SKA Saint Petersburg

	1	X	2
	2.50	3.75	2.47
	2.45	3.65	2.40
	2.64	4.27	2.39	Watch
	2.50	3.95	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↓ (2.8)	3.91 ↓ (4.31)	2.39 ↑ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Severstal Cherepovets
37%

Draw
23.9%

SKA Saint Petersburg
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

22.5%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

21.5%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Severstal Cherepovets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

SKA Saint Petersburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Severstal Cherepovets than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SKA Saint Petersburg than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Severstal Cherepovets - SKA Saint Petersburg Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Severstal (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Preview

An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - KHL Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 7th in the Promotion - KHL Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Severstal won 2.

Severstal has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

SKA has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

SKA could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Our forecast points to a victory for Severstal in today's match, at odds of 2.73.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Severstal has recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 14 losses, with a goal aggregate of 53:74 (averaging 2.7:3.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Severstal against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 19:30 goals (averaging 2.4:3.8 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Severstal Cherepovets - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 34.62%, but this team recently wins 53% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Severstal Cherepovets
KHL
10.10.26	Ak Bars Kazan - Severstal Cherepovets	1:4 ✺
08.10.26	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - Severstal Cherepovets	2:3 ✺
06.10.26	SKA Saint Petersburg - Severstal Cherepovets	2:5 ✺
03.10.26	Severstal Cherepovets - Shanghai Dragons	2:1 OT ✺
01.10.26	Severstal Cherepovets - Admiral Vladivostok	3:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.1 WWWWL
- SKA Saint Petersburg
KHL
11.10.26	Dynamo Moscow - SKA Saint Petersburg	4:3 AET ✺
08.10.26	Dinamo Minsk - SKA Saint Petersburg	4:2 ✺
06.10.26	SKA Saint Petersburg - Severstal Cherepovets	2:5 ✺
03.10.26	SKA Saint Petersburg - Admiral Vladivostok	6:5 penalties ✺
29.09.26	HC CSKA Moscow - SKA Saint Petersburg	6:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

KHL
06.10.26	SKA Saint Petersburg - Severstal Cherepovets	2:5
13.03.26	SKA Saint Petersburg - Severstal Cherepovets	5:0
18.02.26	SKA Saint Petersburg - Severstal Cherepovets	2:3 penalties
05.02.26	Severstal Cherepovets - SKA Saint Petersburg	1:3
26.11.25	Severstal Cherepovets - SKA Saint Petersburg	4:6
17.02.25	Severstal Cherepovets - SKA Saint Petersburg	3:5
16.01.25	SKA Saint Petersburg - Severstal Cherepovets	4:7

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