Match Info

KHL

Date: 12 January 2026, Monday

Location: Lada Arena (Togliatti)


	Lada Togliatti		SKA Saint Petersburg

	1	X	2
	4.69	4.89	1.63	Watch
	4.4	4.75	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.55 ↑ (4.26)	4.82 ↑ (4.77)	1.62 ↓ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lada Togliatti
21%

Draw
19.8%

SKA Saint Petersburg
59.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.8%

20.4%

56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

20.9%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lada Togliatti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

SKA Saint Petersburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lada Togliatti than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SKA Saint Petersburg than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Lada Togliatti - SKA Saint Petersburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Lada will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Lada (votes: 2 - 66.7%). SKA (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
60. Bocharov I. (G)	1. Ivanov S. (G)
22. Williams C.	18. Phillips M.
99. Makarov N.	34. Savikov Y.
98. Jurco T.	61. Khairullin M. (A)
13. Sawchuk R.	42. Vorobyov M.
84. Altybarmakyan A. (A)	90. Zykov V. (A)
Line 2
27. Cotton A.	84. Vydrenkov I.
29. Bokun D.	27. Menell B.
25. Romanov I.	23. Grimaldi R.
10. Chivilyov A.	10. Blandisi J.
18. Kugryshev D. (C)	81. Leipsic B.
Line 3
42. Syomin V. (A)	9. Sapego S.
47. Morozov Y.	22. Zaitsev N.
88. Setdikov N.	16. Plotnikov S. (C)
21. Savchik I.	38. Gurzanov Y.
76. Tyanulin A.	87. Goldobin N.
Line 4
64. Belousov M.	47. Zelenov Y.
43. Ozhgikhin A.	55. Dishkovsky N.
63. Groshev Y.	68. Nedopyokin N.
77. Gogolev P.	41. Polyakov M.
Substitutes
1. Trushkov A. (G)	73. Pleshkov A. (G)
Coaches
. Desyatkov P.	. Larionov I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
09:47, 0 - 1, Khairullin M. (G), Vorobyov M. (A),
13:30, 0 - 2, Polyakov M. (G), Dishkovsky N. (A),
14:26, Plotnikov S. (2 min),
2nd Period (2 - 0)
03:51, 1 - 2, Jurco T. (G), Tyanulin A. (A), Sawchuk R. (A2)
05:38, 2 - 2, Setdikov N. (G), Altybarmakyan A. (A),
15:05, Cotton A. (2 min),
17:00, Blandisi J. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
06:09, Polyakov M. (2 min),
09:19, 2 - 3, Nedopyokin N. (G), Savikov Y. (A), Ivanov S. (A2)
10:37, Plotnikov S. (2 min),
11:21, 3 - 3, Sawchuk R. (G), Tyanulin A. (A), Morozov Y. (A2)
14:23, Savikov Y. (2 min),
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (1 - 2)
1, Polyakov M. (Penalty Shot),
1, Chivilyov A. (Penalty Shot),
2, Leipsic B. (Penalty Shot),
2, Jurco T. (Penalty Shot),
3, Plotnikov S. (Penalty Shot),
3, Sawchuk R. (Penalty Shot),
4, Tyanulin A. (Penalty Shot),
4, Grimaldi R. (Penalty Shot),
5, Chivilyov A. (Penalty Shot),
5, Leipsic B. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lada won 0.

Lada is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

SKA's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

SKA may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

In this match, SKA is considered a favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Lada won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 19:51. (average 1.4:3.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Lada won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 7:24. (average 1:3.4).

Outrights of KHL for now

SKA St. Petersburg: 4.97%

Last Results with these Odds

Lada Togliatti - the odds 4.26 are the expected chance of winning is 22.81%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

SKA Saint Petersburg - the odds 1.71 are the expected chance of winning is 56.82%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Lada Togliatti
KHL
09.01.26	Sochi - Lada Togliatti	1:4 ✺
07.01.26	SKA Saint Petersburg - Lada Togliatti	5:4 OT ✺
05.01.26	Shanghai Dragons - Lada Togliatti	3:2 ✺
03.01.26	Severstal Cherepovets - Lada Togliatti	4:2 ✺
30.12.25	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Lada Togliatti	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLLLL
- SKA Saint Petersburg
KHL
10.01.26	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - SKA Saint Petersburg	5:1 ✺
07.01.26	SKA Saint Petersburg - Lada Togliatti	5:4 OT ✺
30.12.25	Shanghai Dragons - SKA Saint Petersburg	2:3 ✺
28.12.25	Sochi - SKA Saint Petersburg	8:4 ✺
26.12.25	Dinamo Minsk - SKA Saint Petersburg	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

KHL
07.01.26	SKA Saint Petersburg - Lada Togliatti	5:4 OT
21.09.25	Lada Togliatti - SKA Saint Petersburg	0:3
14.09.25	SKA Saint Petersburg - Lada Togliatti	6:1
15.09.24	SKA Saint Petersburg - Lada Togliatti	4:3 OT
07.09.24	Lada Togliatti - SKA Saint Petersburg	1:3
13.02.24	SKA Saint Petersburg - Lada Togliatti	2:1
04.09.23	Lada Togliatti - SKA Saint Petersburg	0:3

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