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Current Win Probability
SKA Saint Petersburg 49.9%
Draw 22.9%
Severstal Cherepovets 27.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.7%
22%
25.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.5%
21.7%
24.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SKA Saint Petersburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
Severstal Cherepovets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for SKA Saint Petersburg than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Severstal Cherepovets than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
SKA Saint Petersburg - Severstal Cherepovets Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. SKA will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. SKA (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
73. Pleshkov A. (G)
29. Samoilov A. (G)
85. Maklyukov A. (A)
8. Kaldis Y.
62. Miromanov D.
32. Gregoire T.
97. Chebykin N.
18. Veryayev D.
53. Aimurzin D.
66. Podshivalov I.
23. Grimaldi R.
88. Dumbadze D. (A)
Line 2
34. Savikov Y.
75. Davydov T.
22. Zaitsev N.
77. Fomin M.
87. Goldobin N.
11. Yan D. (A)
16. Plotnikov S. (C)
17. Abrosimov R. (C)
7. Glotov V. (A)
71. Popugayev N. A.
Line 3
9. Sapego S.
2. Grudinin V.
3. Pedan A.
54. Churkin A.
98. Romanov V.
6. Ivantsov I.
71. Korotky M.
12. Skorenov A.
55. Dishkovsky N.
51. Kvochko I.
Line 4
47. Nedopyokin N.
78. Chuklinov S.
20. Wilson S.
16. Nikitin V.
17. Atanasov V.
70. Graf Y.
79. Artamonov N.
Substitutes
1. Ivanov S. (G)
81. Kazulayev D.
30. Skotnikov V. (G)
Coaches
. Larionov I.
. Kozyrev A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 2)
01:30, 0 - 1, Yan D. (G), Grudinin V. (A), Popugayev N. A. (A2)
02:01, Ivantsov I. (2 min),
05:15, Ivantsov I. (2 min),
08:49, 0 - 2, Kaldis Y. (G), Graf Y. (A),
09:21, 1 - 2, Aimurzin D. (G), Grimaldi R. (A), Chebykin N. (A2)
11:18, Romanov V. (10 min),
12:03, Dumbadze D. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 2)
00:34, Plotnikov S. (2 min),
01:33, 1 - 3, Abrosimov R. (G), Popugayev N. A. (A), Yan D. (A2)
04:46, Romanov V. (2 min),
04:46, Skorenov A. (2 min),
06:03, 2 - 3, Aimurzin D. (G), Chebykin N. (A), Pedan A. (A2)
12:28, Pedan A. (2 min),
16:23, 2 - 4, Davydov T. (G), Graf Y. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
00:01, Samoilov A. ↓, Skotnikov V. ↑,
08:20, Abrosimov R. (2 min),
14:47, Artamonov N. (2 min),
16:56, 2 - 5, Artamonov N. (G),
Preview
This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 4th in the Promotion - KHL Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 7th in the Promotion - KHL Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SKA won 4.
Both teams look competitive and well-prepared heading into this encounter.
Recently, Severstal has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with SKA holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, SKA has recorded 14 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 73:51 (averaging 3.7:2.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for SKA against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 43:32 goals (averaging 3.6:2.7 per game).
Outrights of KHL for now
SKA St. Petersburg: 4.32%
Last Results with these Odds
SKA Saint Petersburg - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 52.71%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.
Severstal Cherepovets - the odds 3.84 are the expected chance of winning is 25.25%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.