Match Info

KHL

Date: 15 October 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Ice Palace (Cherepovets) 🌤️ ...


	Severstal Cherepovets		Lokomotiv Yaroslavl

	1	X	2
	3.38	3.66	1.99
	3.30	3.60	1.97
	3.36	4.00	2.01	Watch
	3.25	3.90	1.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.32 ↑ (3.12)	3.79 ↓ (4.2)	1.97 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Severstal Cherepovets
28%

Draw
24.6%

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
47.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.1%

23.1%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

22.5%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Severstal Cherepovets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Severstal Cherepovets than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Yaroslavl than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Severstal Cherepovets - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Severstal will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Lokomotiv will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Severstal (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
29. Samoilov A. (G)	92. Isayev D. (G)
32. Gregoire T.	4. Yelesin A. (C)
8. Kaldis Y.	5. Bereglazov A.
88. Dumbadze D. (A)	41. Pustovoy A.
66. Podshivalov I.	78. Shalunov M.
18. Veryayev D.	16. Kayumov A.
Line 2
78. Chuklinov S.	99. Sergeyev A.
75. Davydov T.	87. Rafikov R. (A)
11. Yan D. (A)	70. Surin Y.
17. Abrosimov R. (C)	97. Yemelyanov K.
71. Popugayev N. A.	47. Radulov A. (A)
Line 3
52. Chaly G.	73. Cherepanov N.
2. Grudinin V.	93. Misyul D.
51. Kvochko I.	17. Kotkov M.
6. Ivantsov I.	10. Ivanov G.
12. Skorenov A.	13. Fiore G.
Line 4
77. Fomin M.	49. Ulyev M.
16. Nikitin V.	90. Polunin A.
70. Graf Y.	27. Kuzin A.
81. Kazulayev D.	7. Kiryanov N.
Substitutes
79. Artamonov N.	38. Melnichuk A. (G)
30. Skotnikov V. (G)	9. Nikolayev I.
Coaches
. Kozyrev A.	. Kvartalnov D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
01:33, 0 - 1, Kotkov M. (G), Ivanov G. (A),
11:12, 1 - 1, Kvochko I. (G), Ivantsov I. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
00:59, 1 - 2, Fiore G. (G), Radulov A. (A), Yemelyanov K. (A2)
03:26, 2 - 2, Abrosimov R. (G), Grudinin V. (A), Dumbadze D. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 0)
05:16, Kuzin A. (2 min),
09:23, Cherepanov N. (2 min),
10:49, 3 - 2, Gregoire T. (G), Ivantsov I. (A), Kvochko I. (A2)
16:20, 4 - 2, Abrosimov R. (G), Popugayev N. A. (A), Kaldis Y. (A2)
19:56, 5 - 2, Podshivalov I. (G),

Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - KHL Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 2nd in the Promotion - KHL Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Severstal won 0.

Severstal has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Lokomotiv is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Lokomotiv could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Lokomotiv holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Severstal has recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 14 losses, with a goal aggregate of 36:59 (averaging 1.8:3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Severstal against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 12:23 goals (averaging 1.7:3.3 per game).

Outrights of KHL for now

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl: 22.33%

Last Results with these Odds

Severstal Cherepovets - the odds 3.12 are the expected chance of winning is 31.11%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Severstal Cherepovets
KHL
13.10.26	Severstal Cherepovets - SKA Saint Petersburg	2:0 ✺
10.10.26	Ak Bars Kazan - Severstal Cherepovets	1:4 ✺
08.10.26	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - Severstal Cherepovets	2:3 ✺
06.10.26	SKA Saint Petersburg - Severstal Cherepovets	2:5 ✺
03.10.26	Severstal Cherepovets - Shanghai Dragons	2:1 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.3 WWWWW
- Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
KHL
10.10.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Dinamo Minsk	6:1 ✺
05.10.26	Ak Bars Kazan - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	0:2 ✺
03.10.26	Dinamo Minsk - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	4:3 ✺
30.09.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Sibir Novosibirsk	3:1 ✺
27.09.26	Sibir Novosibirsk - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

KHL
10.09.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Severstal Cherepovets	2:1 OT
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
30.08.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Severstal Cherepovets	3:2 penalties
21.08.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Severstal Cherepovets	2:1
KHL
09.03.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Severstal Cherepovets	4:3 OT
02.03.26	Severstal Cherepovets - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	2:3 penalties
28.11.25	Severstal Cherepovets - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	2:0
13.10.25	Severstal Cherepovets - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	4:3

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