Match Info

KHL

Date: 2 March 2026, Monday

Location: Ice Palace (Cherepovets)


	Severstal Cherepovets		Lokomotiv Yaroslavl

	1	X	2
	3.15	3.95	2.12
	3.01	4.23	2.16	Watch
	2.79	4.38	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (2.85)	4.19 ↓ (4.48)	2.14 ↓ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Severstal Cherepovets
32.2%

Draw
22.9%

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

21.7%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

21.2%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Severstal Cherepovets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Severstal Cherepovets than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Yaroslavl than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	28.6%	28.6%

Severstal Cherepovets - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Severstal will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Lokomotiv will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
29. Samoilov A. (G)	92. Isayev D. (G)
32. Gregoire T.	99. Sergeyev A.
8. Kaldis Y.	87. Rafikov R. (A)
88. Dumbadze D. (A)	72. Beryozkin M.
66. Podshivalov I.	78. Shalunov M.
18. Veryayev D.	16. Kayumov A.
Line 2
2. Grudinin V.	73. Cherepanov N.
21. Kamalov N.	28. Gernat M.
23. Liska A. (C)	70. Surin Y.
17. Abrosimov R. (A)	10. Ivanov G.
90. Chefanov I.	47. Radulov A. (A)
Line 3
7. Burenov N.	4. Yelesin A. (C)
16. Vashchenko G.	5. Bereglazov A.
42. Tankov K.	14. Panik R.
53. Aimurzin D.	51. Froese B.
99. Ilyin M.	7. Kiryanov N.
Line 4
77. Fomin M.	93. Misyul D.
81. Kazulayev D.	9. Nikolayev I.
10. Tsitsyura V.	63. Kraskovsky P.
12. Skorenov A.	13. Nikulin S.
Substitutes
51. Kvochko I.	27. Kuzin A.
1. Shostak K. (G)	38. Melnichuk A. (G)
Coaches
. Kozyrev A.	. Hartley B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
07:11, Beryozkin M. (2 min),
13:22, 1 - 0, Tsitsyura V. (G), Kazulayev D. (A), Skorenov A. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
15:24, 1 - 1, Kayumov A. (G), Beryozkin M. (A), Bereglazov A. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
03:36, 1 - 2, Froese B. (G), Panik R. (A), Kiryanov N. (A2)
05:13, Veryayev D. (2 min),
06:37, Kvochko I. (2 min),
10:21, Misyul D. (2 min),
14:12, Gernat M. (2 min),
18:50, Panik R. (2 min),
19:11, 2 - 2, Skorenov A. (G), Kaldis Y. (A), Liska A. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
03:52, Surin Y. (2 min),
03:52, Skorenov A. (Penalty Shot),
Penalties (0 - 2)
1, Chefanov I. (Penalty Shot),
1, Radulov A. (Penalty Shot),
2, Aimurzin D. (Penalty Shot),
2, Kayumov A. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

Severstal is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Lokomotiv is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Severstal won 3.

Severstal has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Lokomotiv is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Severstal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Severstal has had a series of away games.

Lokomotiv will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Severstal won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 35:57. (average 1.8:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Severstal won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:21. (average 1.6:2.6).

Outrights of KHL for now

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl: 16.47%

Last Results with these Odds

Severstal Cherepovets - the odds 2.85 are the expected chance of winning is 34.04%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Severstal Cherepovets
KHL
27.02.26	Severstal Cherepovets - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	1:2 ✺
24.02.26	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Severstal Cherepovets	3:4 OT ✺
22.02.26	Barys Astana - Severstal Cherepovets	2:3 OT ✺
20.02.26	Traktor Chelyabinsk - Severstal Cherepovets	5:2 ✺
18.02.26	SKA Saint Petersburg - Severstal Cherepovets	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LWWLW
- Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
KHL
28.02.26	SKA Saint Petersburg - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	2:5 ✺
24.02.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Dynamo Moscow	3:1 ✺
21.02.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Dinamo Minsk	5:4 penalties ✺
17.02.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Sochi - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	1:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

KHL
28.11.25	Severstal Cherepovets - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	2:0
13.10.25	Severstal Cherepovets - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	4:3
24.09.25	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Severstal Cherepovets	2:1
09.09.25	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Severstal Cherepovets	4:1
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
31.08.25	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Severstal Cherepovets	2:3 OT
20.08.25	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Severstal Cherepovets	0:2
KHL
10.03.25	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Severstal Cherepovets	3:0

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