Match Info

KHL

Date: 12 February 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Sibir Arena (Novosibirsk) 🌤️ ...


	Sibir Novosibirsk		Lada Togliatti

	1	X	2
	1.7	4.4	4.01
	1.71	4.43	4.23	Watch
	1.68	4.4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 (1.7)	4.41 ↑ (4.1)	4.08 ↑ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sibir Novosibirsk
55.5%

Draw
21.4%

Lada Togliatti
23.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.9%

22.3%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

23.6%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sibir Novosibirsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Lada Togliatti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sibir Novosibirsk than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lada Togliatti than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	25%	41.7%

Sibir Novosibirsk - Lada Togliatti Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Sibir will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Lada will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lada: 13.8% – 69.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lada (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
1. Berdin M. (G)	60. Bocharov I. (G)
22. Priskie C.	22. Williams C.
27. Gordeev F.	42. Syomin V. (C)
11. Koshelev S.	84. Altybarmakyan A. (A)
19. Andreoff A.	13. Sawchuk R.
15. Kosolapov A.	76. Tyanulin A. (A)
Line 2
54. Churkin A.	8. Zemchyonok A.
21. Alanov Y. (A)	44. Lukin A.
85. Beck T. (A)	10. Chivilyov A.
12. Nekolenko A.	58. Obidin A.
51. Leshchenko V.	18. Kugryshev D.
Line 3
9. Zaitsev Y.	27. Cotton A.
74. Orlov M.	29. Bokun D.
84. Talaluyev I.	88. Setdikov N.
18. Loktionov A.	21. Savchik I.
52. Shirokov S. (C)	66. Mikhailov N.
Line 4
38. Baklashev N.	64. Belousov M.
61. Yakovlev A.	32. Taimazov A.
26. Klimovich I.	98. Jurco T.
10. Fedotov I.	94. Graovac T.
	25. Romanov I.
Substitutes
33. Krasotkin A. (G)	1. Trushkov A. (G)
28. Pershakov A.
Coaches
. Lyuzenkov Y.	. Desyatkov P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
01:15, 0 - 1, Kugryshev D. (G), Zemchyonok A. (A), Chivilyov A. (A2)
05:52, 1 - 1, Nekolenko A. (G), Alanov Y. (A), Beck T. (A2)
13:51, Leshchenko V. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
01:28, Kugryshev D. (2 min),
09:22, Talaluyev I. (2 min),
19:42, Altybarmakyan A. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
05:37, (2 min),
16:15, Setdikov N. (2 min),
17:41, 2 - 1, Leshchenko V. (G), Alanov Y. (A), Nekolenko A. (A2)
19:26, 2 - 2, Sawchuk R. (G), Cotton A. (A), Tyanulin A. (A2)
Overtime (1 - 0)
01:29, 3 - 2, Kosolapov A. (G),

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sibir won 2.

Recent performances by Sibir have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Lada's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sibir may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Sibir has had a series of home games.

In this match, Sibir is a strong favorite.

We predict that Sibir will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Sibir won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 47:32. (average 2.6:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Sibir won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 31:14. (average 3.4:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Sibir Novosibirsk
KHL
10.02.26	Sibir Novosibirsk - Sochi	10:1 ✺
04.02.26	Sibir Novosibirsk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	2:5 ✺
02.02.26	Sibir Novosibirsk - Ak Bars Kazan	3:2 penalties ✺
31.01.26	Sibir Novosibirsk - Traktor Chelyabinsk	1:3 ✺
29.01.26	Sibir Novosibirsk - Dinamo Minsk	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WLWLW
- HC Lada Togliatti
KHL
10.02.26	Lada Togliatti - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	3:1 ✺
05.02.26	Lada Togliatti - Dinamo Minsk	3:8 ✺
03.02.26	Lada Togliatti - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	2:3 ✺
30.01.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Lada Togliatti	3:1 ✺
28.01.26	Spartak Moscow - Lada Togliatti	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

KHL
10.10.25	Lada Togliatti - Sibir Novosibirsk	4:2
08.03.25	Lada Togliatti - Sibir Novosibirsk	1:0 OT
13.02.25	Sibir Novosibirsk - Lada Togliatti	4:1
11.02.25	Sibir Novosibirsk - Lada Togliatti	4:1
09.10.24	Lada Togliatti - Sibir Novosibirsk	4:3 OT
20.02.24	Sibir Novosibirsk - Lada Togliatti	3:0
21.12.23	Lada Togliatti - Sibir Novosibirsk	4:1

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