Match Info

KHL

Date: 28 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Megasport Arena (Moscow)


	Spartak Moscow		Lada Togliatti

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.25	5.2
	1.48	5.41	5.82	Watch
	1.45	5	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.45)	4.89 ↓ (5.21)	5.51 ↓ (5.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spartak Moscow
63.8%

Draw
19.2%

Lada Togliatti
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.5%

18.2%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.6%

18.5%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartak Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Lada Togliatti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lada Togliatti than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	11.1%	77.8%

Spartak Moscow - Lada Togliatti Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Spartak will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Lada will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lada: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lada Togliatti will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
50. Zagidulin A. (G)	1. Trushkov A. (G)
4. Keane J.	22. Williams C.
94. Mironov A. (C)	42. Syomin V. (C)
87. Gutik D.	66. Mikhailov N.
95. Rubtsov G. (A)	13. Sawchuk R.
13. Maltsev M.	76. Tyanulin A. (A)
Line 2
55. Vishnevsky D.	8. Zemchyonok A.
62. Orlov D.	99. Makarov N.
24. Poryadin P. (A)	88. Setdikov N.
17. Morozov I.	21. Savchik I.
21. Ruzicka A.	84. Altybarmakyan A. (A)
Line 3
8. Kniazev A.	27. Cotton A.
78. Bychkov R.	47. Morozov Y.
37. Korotkikh I.	77. Gogolev P.
20. Lockhart L.	10. Chivilyov A.
35. Korostelev N.	18. Kugryshev D.
Line 4
98. Belyayev A.	32. Taimazov A.
65. Mansurov D.	98. Jurco T.
16. Pivchulin D.	94. Graovac T.
	58. Obidin A.
Substitutes
40. Georgiyev A. (G)	60. Bocharov I. (G)
	87. Borodin D.
Coaches
. Barkov A.	. Desyatkov P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
05:32, 1 - 0, Korostelev N. (G),
05:59, Belyayev A. (2 min),
14:43, 2 - 0, Poryadin P. (G), Ruzicka A. (A), Morozov I. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
01:04, (2 min),
02:43, 2 - 1, Altybarmakyan A. (G), Tyanulin A. (A), Mikhailov N. (A2)
05:04, Jurco T. (2 min),
05:34, 3 - 1, Rubtsov G. (G), Ruzicka A. (A), Gutik D. (A2)
06:42, Chivilyov A. (2 min),
07:53, (2 min),
08:05, 4 - 1, Korostelev N. (G), Keane J. (A), Korotkikh I. (A2)
13:27, Mikhailov N. (2 min),
3rd Period (2 - 1)
00:26, Sawchuk R. (2 min),
04:21, Gogolev P. (2 min),
07:15, Mansurov D. (2 min),
10:26, 4 - 2, Zemchyonok A. (G), Makarov N. (A), Kugryshev D. (A2)
17:58, 5 - 2, Lockhart L. (G), Maltsev M. (A), Orlov D. (A2)
18:46, 6 - 2, Belyayev A. (G), Pivchulin D. (A), Mansurov D. (A2)

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spartak won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Lada has had a series of home games.

In this match, Spartak is considered a favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Spartak won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 37:30. (average 3.1:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Spartak won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:19. (average 3.3:2.7).

Outrights of KHL for now

Spartak Moscow: 3.46%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Spartak Moscow
KHL
25.01.26	Spartak Moscow - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	2:3 OT ✺
22.01.26	SKA Saint Petersburg - Spartak Moscow	1:2 ✺
20.01.26	Shanghai Dragons - Spartak Moscow	1:3 ✺
17.01.26	Spartak Moscow - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	0:1 ✺
14.01.26	Dynamo Moscow - Spartak Moscow	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWWLW
- HC Lada Togliatti
KHL
26.01.26	Dynamo Moscow - Lada Togliatti	3:1 ✺
23.01.26	Lada Togliatti - Dynamo Moscow	2:1 ✺
20.01.26	Lada Togliatti - Barys Astana	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Lada Togliatti - Sochi	4:0 ✺
15.01.26	Lada Togliatti - Salavat Yulaev Ufa	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

KHL
29.11.25	Spartak Moscow - Lada Togliatti	5:4
23.03.25	Spartak Moscow - Lada Togliatti	3:2 OT
12.03.25	Lada Togliatti - Spartak Moscow	2:4
18.11.23	Spartak Moscow - Lada Togliatti	5:3
11.11.23	Lada Togliatti - Spartak Moscow	4:3 penalties
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
20.02.18	Spartak Moscow - Lada Togliatti	3:2
KHL
26.11.17	Lada Togliatti - Spartak Moscow	1:4

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