Match Info

SHL - Round 8

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Skellefteå Kraft Arena (Skellefteå)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	TV4 Play


	Skellefteå		Rögle

	1	X	2
	1.86	4.50	3.40
	1.83	4.40	3.40
	1.87	4.25	3.40
	1.89	3.75	3.53
	1.87	4.13	3.39	Watch
	1.85	3.65	3.45
	1.87	4.25	3.42	Watch
	1.83	4.10	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.8)	4.13 ↓ (4.15)	3.42 ↓ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Skellefteå
50.1%

Draw
22.6%

Rögle
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

22.5%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

23.6%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Skellefteå has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Rögle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skellefteå than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rögle than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Skellefteå - Rögle Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Preview

Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 4th in the Promotion - SHL Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 6th in the Promotion - SHL Playoffs - Quarter - finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Skellefteå won 4.

Skellefteå has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Rögle shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Recently, Rögle has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

Skellefteå carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Skellefteå has recorded 13 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 50:38 (averaging 2.5:1.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Skellefteå against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 30:18 goals (averaging 2.7:1.6 per game).

Outrights of SHL for now

Skelleftea: 19.61% Rogle: 10.28%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
4	Skelleftea	7	3	1	1	2	25:19	12
6	Rogle	7	3	1	0	3	18:15	11

Last Results with these Odds

Skellefteå - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 51.9%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Skellefteå AIK
SHL
08.10.26	Skellefteå - Färjestad	1:5 ✺
Champions League Ice Hockey
06.10.26	HC Plzeň 1929 - Skellefteå	4:2 ✺
SHL
03.10.26	Timrå - Skellefteå	1:4 ✺
01.10.26	Skellefteå - Malmö Redhawks	4:3 OT ✺
29.09.26	Skellefteå - Luleå	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWWW
- Rögle BK
SHL
08.10.26	Rögle - HV71	4:3 ✺
Champions League Ice Hockey
06.10.26	Rögle - Davos	3:2 ✺
SHL
03.10.26	Växjö Lakers - Rögle	3:2 ✺
01.10.26	Rögle - Timrå	4:1 ✺
26.09.26	Rögle - Linköping	2:1 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

SHL
02.05.26	Skellefteå - Rögle	7:3
30.04.26	Rögle - Skellefteå	2:3
28.04.26	Rögle - Skellefteå	2:1 OT
25.04.26	Skellefteå - Rögle	5:1
23.04.26	Skellefteå - Rögle	4:1
10.03.26	Skellefteå - Rögle	3:5
24.01.26	Rögle - Skellefteå	5:0

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