Match Info

Extraleague

Date: 5 October 2026, Monday


	Slavutych Smolensk		Vitebsk

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.90	2.95
	2.02	4.01	3.06
	1.98	3.9	3
	1.93	3.94	3.07	Watch
	1.92	3.95	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.19)	3.94 (3.94)	3 ↑ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Slavutych Smolensk
46.4%

Draw
23.2%

Vitebsk
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

23.4%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

24.7%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Slavutych Smolensk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Vitebsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slavutych Smolensk than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Slavutych Smolensk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitebsk than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vitebsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Slavutych Smolensk - Vitebsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
20. Kibo V. (G)	31. Okoryak V. (G)
95. Antonov D.	67. Kupchikhin P.
97. Tatarnikov K.	33. Stepanov Y.
88. Polkin M.	15. Shalyshkin N.
19. Yerkin D.	92. Sapozhnikov V.
91. Kurdin I.	13. Astankov Y.
Line 2
96. Sushinsky I.	93. Shchyochin V.
12. Kvon G.	22. Ozerov M.
85. Avramenko M.	81. Lemeshevsky M.
47. Filippov V.	88. Kambovich I.
16. Noskov D.	12. Levko A.
Line 3
98. Muzhikov D.	68. Listopadov M.
15. Melnikov M.	8. Bobryashov N.
14. Rakitin D.	97. Pirogovsky G.
51. Kurkov D.	37. Deribo A.
55. Yegorov A.	10. Vasyutovich P.
Line 4
9. Antonovsky I.	44. Rubets K.
73. Mamonov F.	11. Narodovsky V.
84. Masandilov A.	32. Yasyukevich P.
92. Shapenkov K.	23. Bogrunov M.
87. Ivanov A.
Substitutes
31. Gulkovsky K. (G)	27. Bobariko R. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
12:30, 0 - 1, Stepanov Y. (G), Levko A. (A),
16:56, 0 - 2, Sapozhnikov V. (G), Astankov Y. (A),
2nd Period (3 - 1)
07:51, 1 - 2, Filippov V. (G), Noskov D. (A),
12:43, 2 - 2, Avramenko M. (G), Noskov D. (A),
14:20, 2 - 3, Lemeshevsky M. (G), Levko A. (A),
19:05, 3 - 3, Mamonov F. (G), Ivanov A. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
08:34, 4 - 3, Noskov D. (G), Avramenko M. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Slavutych won 2.

Slavutych arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Vitebsk has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Slavutych holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Slavutych has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 34:50 (averaging 2:2.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Slavutych against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with 22:28 goals (averaging 2.2:2.8 per game).

Outrights of Belarusian Extraleague for now

Vitebsk: 7.95%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
4	Slavutych	10	7	1	0	2	49:29	16
8	Vitebsk	11	5	1	1	4	34:29	13

Last Results with these Odds

Slavutych Smolensk - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 42.22%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.

Vitebsk - the odds 2.69 are the expected chance of winning is 34.36%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Slavutych Smolensk
Belarusian Extraleague
03.10.26	Slavutych Smolensk - Vitebsk	6:3 ✺
30.09.26	Slavutych Smolensk - Shakhtyor Soligorsk	5:1 ✺
28.09.26	Slavutych Smolensk - Shakhtyor Soligorsk	4:3 penalties ✺
23.09.26	Yunost Minsk - Slavutych Smolensk	1:4 ✺
21.09.26	Yunost Minsk - Slavutych Smolensk	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WWWWW
- HC Vitebsk
Belarusian Extraleague
03.10.26	Slavutych Smolensk - Vitebsk	6:3 ✺
30.09.26	Mogilev - Vitebsk	0:2 ✺
28.09.26	Mogilev - Vitebsk	4:3 ✺
24.09.26	Vitebsk - Lokomotiv Orsha	4:1 ✺
22.09.26	Vitebsk - Lokomotiv Orsha	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Extraleague
03.10.26	Slavutych Smolensk - Vitebsk	6:3
Belarusian Cup Hockey
23.08.26	Slavutych Smolensk - Vitebsk	2:3 OT
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
21.07.26	Slavutych Smolensk - Vitebsk	3:2
19.07.26	Vitebsk - Slavutych Smolensk	5:3
16.07.26	Slavutych Smolensk - Vitebsk	1:2
Belarusian Extraleague
11.02.26	Slavutych Smolensk - Vitebsk	2:1 penalties
09.02.26	Slavutych Smolensk - Vitebsk	1:3

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