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Current Win Probability
Sokol Krasnoyarsk 45%
Draw 24.3%
Bars Kazan 30.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.9%
22.4%
27.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.3%
21.8%
26.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sokol Krasnoyarsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
Bars Kazan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sokol Krasnoyarsk than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sokol Krasnoyarsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bars Kazan than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Bars Kazan Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
20. Dyubin A. (G)
80. Chibizov A. (G)
7. Popov I.
24. Bogatov N. (A)
47. Martynov Y.
39. Almetkin V.
87. Kolesnikov N.
17. Gizatullin D.
34. Dzhioshvili V. (A)
9. Alshevsky S. (A)
11. Polishchuk Z.
41. Klimkin I.
Line 2
14. Panov M.
75. Ivanov A.
5. Krasnov A. (C)
60. Lisov N.
66. Shuidin N.
10. Galeyev I.
15. Tsyplakov A.
98. Saberzyanov M.
25. Kazakov K.
93. Barsukov I.
Line 3
59. Volosenkov N.
71. Samigullin R.
23. Ryzhikov S.
26. Taimazov A.
98. Konov V.
64. Gazizov R.
17. Voronin A. (A)
28. Golubev D. (C)
70. Kargin I.
55. Sherstnyov D.
Line 4
12. Morozov I.
5. Mubaraksins A.
37. Gavrilov L.
90. Gabdrakhmanov E.
18. Abyanov R.
72. Mekhovov I.
29. Pylayev A.
89. Kalimullin A.
74. Shulga A.
Substitutes
88. Todykov A. (G)
40. Stolpechenkov A. (G)
32. Vasilkov A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 0)
02:32, 1 - 0, Kolesnikov N. (G), Dzhioshvili V. (A),
13:59, 2 - 0, Krasnov A. (G), Kargin I. (A), Voronin A. (A2)
2nd Period (3 - 1)
01:53, 3 - 0, Kolesnikov N. (G), Polishchuk Z. (A), Volosenkov N. (A2)
03:21, 4 - 0, Kazakov K. (G), Tsyplakov A. (A), Shuidin N. (A2)
16:35, 5 - 0, Kazakov K. (G), Tsyplakov A. (A), Krasnov A. (A2)
17:11, 5 - 1, Saberzyanov M. (G), Barsukov I. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sokol Krasnoyarsk won 3.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Sokol Krasnoyarsk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Sokol Krasnoyarsk might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sokol Krasnoyarsk won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 55:40. (average 2.8:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Sokol Krasnoyarsk won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:20. (average 2.4:2).
Last Results with these Odds
Sokol Krasnoyarsk - the odds 1.88 are the expected chance of winning is 49.95%, but this team recently wins 90% of matches with these odds.
Bars Kazan - the odds 3.39 are the expected chance of winning is 27.7%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.