Match Info

KHL

Date: 24 September 2026, Thursday

Location: Megasport Arena (Moscow)


	Spartak Moscow		Avangard Omsk

	1	X	2
	2.13	3.66	3.05
	2.10	3.60	3.00
	2.07	4.14	3.10	Watch
	2.05	4.00	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.55)	3.85 ↓ (4.18)	3.03 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spartak Moscow
44.8%

Draw
24.3%

Avangard Omsk
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

23.2%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

21.9%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartak Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Spartak Moscow's performance.

Avangard Omsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Avangard Omsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avangard Omsk than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Avangard Omsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	28.6%	14.3%

Spartak Moscow - Avangard Omsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Spartak will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Avangard will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Spartak (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
28. Fedotov I. (G)	1. Prosvetov I. (G)
48. Jaros C.	55. Cecconi J.
94. Mironov A. (C)	77. Adamchuk K. (A)
13. Maltsev M.	96. Rashevsky D.
6. Ryabov I.	92. Ponomaryov V.
24. Poryadin P. (A)	17. Okulov K. (C)
Line 2
4. Keane J.	28. Ibragimov M.
44. Reilly W.	84. Gulyaev M.
95. Rubtsov G. (A)	11. Afanasyev Y.
98. Belyayev A.	22. Poturalski A. (A)
99. Filin Y.	90. Leivo J.
Line 3
55. Vishnevsky D.	76. Kazachek A.
62. Orlov D.	95. Starikov L.
20. Lockhart L.	26. Dolzhenkov K.
16. Pivchulin D.	34. Ilyenko A.
78. Gutik D.	87. Burlaka G.
Line 4
74. Bryntsev A.	73. Kazantsev R.
71. Kozhushko S.	93. Malov V.
38. Kotlyarov I.	86. Kozhevnikov K.
65. Mansurov D.
Substitutes
76. Lukyantsev S.	31. Ivchenko D. (G)
50. Zagidulin A. (G)	54. Serebryakov N. (G)
Coaches
. Zhamnov A.	. Boucher G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
15:24, Maltsev M. (2 min),
19:47, Dolzhenkov K. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
07:09, Belyayev A. (2 min),
07:09, Cecconi J. (2 min),
16:30, 0 - 1, Afanasyev Y. (G), Starikov L. (A), Leivo J. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
06:57, Ilyenko A. (2 min),
08:10, 1 - 1, Belyayev A. (G), Kotlyarov I. (A), Rubtsov G. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
00:23, 1 - 2, Gulyaev M. (G), Poturalski A. (A), Leivo J. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spartak won 2.

Spartak has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Avangard has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Avangard may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Our forecast points to a victory for Spartak in today's match, at odds of 2.17.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Spartak has recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 46:68 (averaging 2.3:3.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Spartak against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with 13:32 goals (averaging 1.3:3.2 per game).

Outrights of KHL for now

Avangard Omsk: 13.3% Spartak Moscow: 3.46%

Last Results with these Odds

Spartak Moscow - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 38.02%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Avangard Omsk - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 38.78%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Spartak Moscow
KHL
20.09.26	Salavat Yulaev Ufa - Spartak Moscow	3:1 ✺
18.09.26	Traktor Chelyabinsk - Spartak Moscow	1:3 ✺
16.09.26	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Spartak Moscow	2:3 ✺
12.09.26	Spartak Moscow - Severstal Cherepovets	8:0 ✺
10.09.26	Spartak Moscow - SKA Saint Petersburg	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 LWWWW
- Avangard Omsk
KHL
22.09.26	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - Avangard Omsk	5:1 ✺
20.09.26	Traktor Chelyabinsk - Avangard Omsk	2:1 ✺
18.09.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Avangard Omsk	2:1 ✺
15.09.26	Avangard Omsk - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	3:2 OT ✺
13.09.26	Avangard Omsk - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	3:2 AET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

KHL
02.03.26	Spartak Moscow - Avangard Omsk	1:4
07.12.25	Avangard Omsk - Spartak Moscow	7:5
02.03.25	Spartak Moscow - Avangard Omsk	1:5
17.10.24	Avangard Omsk - Spartak Moscow	5:6
08.02.24	Avangard Omsk - Spartak Moscow	3:5
19.01.24	Spartak Moscow - Avangard Omsk	1:3
23.11.22	Avangard Omsk - Spartak Moscow	1:3

Spartak Moscow - Avangard Omsk: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide