What is the expert prediction for Avangard Omsk vs Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg?

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Avangard Omsk vs Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, February 05, 2026)

Match Info

KHL

Date: 5 February 2026, Thursday

Location: G-Drive Arena (Omsk)


	Avangard Omsk		Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg

	1	X	2
	1.66	4.07	4.01
	1.81	4.38	3.98	Watch
	1.74	4.25	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.95)	4.23 ↑ (4.2)	3.95 ↑ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avangard Omsk
54%

Draw
22.2%

Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

22.5%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

23.3%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avangard Omsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Avangard Omsk's performance.

Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avangard Omsk than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Avangard Omsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	57.1%	0%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Avangard will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
54. Serebryakov N. (G)	1. Galkin V. (G)
55. Cecconi J.	9. Blacker J.
44. Sharipzyanov D. (C)	88. Tryamkin N. (C)
22. Poturalski A.	17. Macek B.
9. McLeod M.	86. Sharov A.
17. Okulov K.	97. Kizimov S.
Line 2
66. Chistyakov S. (A)	2. Zborovsky S.
88. Blazhiyevsky A.	55. Vorobyov K. (A)
96. Rashevsky D.	15. Golyshev A.
74. Prokhorkin N. (A)	77. Da Costa S.
65. Yakupov N.	92. Gorbunov R.
Line 3
26. Voynov V.	21. Osipov M.
58. Lajoie M.	7. Busygin Y.
53. Kotlyarevsky M.	24. Denezhkin M.
92. Ponomaryov V.	28. Byvaltsev A. (A)
23. Pilipenko K.	31. Khripunov S.
Line 4
84. Gulyaev M.	26. Ishimnikov N.
13. Fiore G.	76. Kashtanov A.
12. Dolzhenkov K.	81. Romantsev D.
70. Martynov I.	99. Shashkov N.
Substitutes
1. Mishurov A. (G)	18. Alikin Y. (G)
Coaches
. Boucher G.	. Zavarukhin N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
11:04, 0 - 1, Gorbunov R. (G), Blacker J. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 0)
01:25, 1 - 1, Prokhorkin N. (G), Rashevsky D. (A), Blazhiyevsky A. (A2)
06:24, Lajoie M. (2 min),
18:11, 2 - 1, Poturalski A. (G),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
18:08, 2 - 2, Sharov A. (G), Macek B. (A), Blacker J. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
01:27, 2 - 3, Gorbunov R. (G), Macek B. (A),

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avangard won 2.

Avangard has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Avtomobilist has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Avangard may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Avangard is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Avangard won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 47:47. (average 2.4:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Avangard won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 25:17. (average 2.5:1.7).

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Last Results with these Odds

Avangard Omsk - the odds 1.95 are the expected chance of winning is 48.43%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - the odds 3.24 are the expected chance of winning is 29.12%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avangard Omsk
KHL
03.02.26	Shanghai Dragons - Avangard Omsk	3:5 ✺
01.02.26	Dynamo Moscow - Avangard Omsk	1:4 ✺
29.01.26	Avangard Omsk - Traktor Chelyabinsk	1:0 ✺
26.01.26	Avangard Omsk - Admiral Vladivostok	5:2 ✺
22.01.26	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Avangard Omsk	1:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWWWW
- Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg
KHL
31.01.26	Admiral Vladivostok - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	1:4 ✺
29.01.26	Amur Khabarovsk - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	5:2 ✺
26.01.26	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Amur Khabarovsk	4:2 ✺
22.01.26	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Avangard Omsk	1:2 OT ✺
20.01.26	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Sibir Novosibirsk	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

KHL
22.01.26	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Avangard Omsk	1:2 OT
19.10.25	Avangard Omsk - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	3:2 OT
10.10.25	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Avangard Omsk	3:0
06.10.25	Avangard Omsk - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	1:4
22.01.25	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Avangard Omsk	2:1
07.12.24	Avangard Omsk - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	4:2
28.11.24	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Avangard Omsk	4:2