Match Info

KHL

Date: 16 March 2026, Monday

Location: Megasport Arena (Moscow)


	Spartak Moscow		Dynamo Moscow

	1	X	2
	2.43	4.15	2.65
	2.41	4.17	2.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.35)	4.16 ↓ (4.24)	2.66 ↓ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spartak Moscow
40.1%

Draw
23.3%

Dynamo Moscow
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

22.9%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

22.4%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartak Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Dynamo Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Moscow than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Spartak Moscow - Dynamo Moscow Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
50. Zagidulin A. (G)	59. Podyapolsky V. (G)
4. Keane J.	92. Ozhiganov I. (C)
94. Mironov A. (C)	45. Pylenkov D.
87. Gutik D.	42. Galimov A.
17. Morozov I.	34. Ilyenko A. (A)
24. Poryadin P. (A)	98. Mamin M.
Line 2
55. Vishnevsky D.	93. Sergeyev A.
62. Orlov D.	44. Adamchuk K.
98. Belyayev A.	90. Sikura D.
95. Rubtsov G. (A)	91. Weal J.
99. Filin Y.	97. Gusev N.
Line 3
48. Jaros C.	75. Patalakha M.
8. Kniazev A.	96. Sharakanov M.
13. Maltsev M.	9. Slepyshev A. (A)
20. Lockhart L.	57. Shvets-Rogovoy A.
35. Korostelev N.	71. Der-Arguchintsev S.
Line 4
97. Kholodilin N.	4. Kalinichenko R.
65. Mansurov D.	84. Artemyev S.
16. Pivchulin D.	19. Zinchenko I.
	85. Kudryavtsev P.
Substitutes
31. Volokhin Y. (G)	99. Motorygin M. (G)
	25. Prokhorov D.
Coaches
. Zhamnov A.	. Kozlov V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
11:26, Mamin M. (2 min),
13:44, Maltsev M. (2 min),
14:48, 0 - 1, Sikura D. (G), Weal J. (A), Mamin M. (A2)
2nd Period (3 - 1)
04:36, 1 - 1, Belyayev A. (G), Rubtsov G. (A), Mironov A. (A2)
07:54, 2 - 1, Rubtsov G. (G), Filin Y. (A), Belyayev A. (A2)
09:19, 2 - 2, Pylenkov D. (G), Der-Arguchintsev S. (A), Slepyshev A. (A2)
11:15, Belyayev A. (2 min),
11:15, Weal J. (2 min),
14:36, 3 - 2, Orlov D. (G), Pivchulin D. (A), Vishnevsky D. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
04:24, Mamin M. (2 min),
06:47, 3 - 3, Sikura D. (G), Weal J. (A), Gusev N. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
03:44, Weal J. (2 min),
Penalties (0 - 1)
1, Der-Arguchintsev S. (Penalty Shot),
1, Lockhart L. (Penalty Shot),
2, Gusev N. (Penalty Shot),
2, Belyayev A. (Penalty Shot),
3, Kudryavtsev P. (Penalty Shot),
3, Morozov I. (Penalty Shot),
4, Lockhart L. (Penalty Shot),
4, Gusev N. (Penalty Shot),
5, Korostelev N. (Penalty Shot),
5, Gusev N. (Penalty Shot),
6, Pivchulin D. (Penalty Shot),
6, Der-Arguchintsev S. (Penalty Shot),
7, Maltsev M. (Penalty Shot),
7, Der-Arguchintsev S. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

Spartak is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Dynamo M is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spartak won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Dynamo M may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Dynamo M has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Spartak won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 59:64. (average 3:3.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Spartak won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 33:32. (average 3.3:3.2).

Outrights of KHL for now

Dynamo Moscow: 4.32% Spartak Moscow: 3.46%

Last Results with these Odds

Spartak Moscow - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 41.3%, but this team recently wins 32% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Spartak Moscow
KHL
13.03.26	Spartak Moscow - Amur Khabarovsk	1:0 OT ✺
10.03.26	Ak Bars Kazan - Spartak Moscow	4:1 ✺
08.03.26	Lada Togliatti - Spartak Moscow	2:5 ✺
07.03.26	Lada Togliatti - Spartak Moscow	1:7 ✺
02.03.26	Spartak Moscow - Avangard Omsk	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLWWL
- HC Dynamo Moscow
KHL
13.03.26	Salavat Yulaev Ufa - Dynamo Moscow	2:3 penalties ✺
11.03.26	Dynamo Moscow - Shanghai Dragons	4:2 ✺
09.03.26	Dynamo Moscow - Dinamo Minsk	6:4 ✺
07.03.26	Dynamo Moscow - SKA Saint Petersburg	1:2 OT ✺
04.03.26	Dynamo Moscow - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

KHL
10.02.26	Spartak Moscow - Dynamo Moscow	2:3
14.01.26	Dynamo Moscow - Spartak Moscow	3:5
16.12.25	Dynamo Moscow - Spartak Moscow	1:0
18.11.25	Dynamo Moscow - Spartak Moscow	2:4
23.10.25	Spartak Moscow - Dynamo Moscow	0:5
17.02.25	Spartak Moscow - Dynamo Moscow	3:2 OT
13.02.25	Dynamo Moscow - Spartak Moscow	4:1

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