Match Info

KHL

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Lada Arena (Togliatti)


	Lada Togliatti		Spartak Moscow

	1	X	2
	3.71	4.55	1.82
	3.78	4.33	1.82	Watch
	3.5	3.8	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.66 ↑ (3.58)	4.23 ↓ (4.5)	1.78 ↓ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lada Togliatti
25.5%

Draw
22.1%

Spartak Moscow
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

21.6%

51.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

21.5%

51.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lada Togliatti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Spartak Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lada Togliatti than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Lada Togliatti - Spartak Moscow Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Lada will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Spartak will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
1. Trushkov A. (G)	50. Zagidulin A. (G)
27. Cotton A.	8. Kniazev A.
42. Syomin V. (C)	4. Keane J.
66. Mikhailov N.	28. Pashin A.
13. Sawchuk R.	17. Morozov I.
76. Tyanulin A. (A)	21. Ruzicka A.
Line 2
8. Zemchyonok A.	62. Orlov D.
64. Belousov M.	55. Vishnevsky D. (C)
84. Altybarmakyan A. (A)	99. Filin Y.
10. Chivilyov A.	95. Rubtsov G. (A)
18. Kugryshev D.	98. Belyayev A.
Line 3
15. Lineitsev D.	3. Ivanov D.
29. Bokun D.	48. Jaros C. (A)
88. Setdikov N.	41. Solovyov D.
21. Savchik I.	65. Mansurov D.
25. Romanov I.	16. Pivchulin D.
Line 4
44. Lukin A.	19. Plesovskikh A.
98. Jurco T.	6. Ryabov I.
58. Obidin A.	76. Lukyantsev S.
23. Chervonenko V.	96. Krovyakov M.
	97. Kholodilin N.
Substitutes
60. Bocharov I. (G)	30. Kuzmenko Y. (G)
Coaches
. Desyatkov P.	. Zhamnov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
01:49, 0 - 1, Pivchulin D. (G), Solovyov D. (A),
05:12, Trushkov A. (2 min),
06:09, Keane J. (2 min),
13:23, 0 - 2, Rubtsov G. (G), Jaros C. (A), Filin Y. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
04:00, 0 - 3, Rubtsov G. (G), Filin Y. (A), Ivanov D. (A2)
04:25, Altybarmakyan A. (2 min),
08:31, 1 - 3, Setdikov N. (G), Cotton A. (A), Syomin V. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 2)
00:27, Ruzicka A. (2 min),
02:10, 2 - 3, Chivilyov A. (G), Cotton A. (A), Kugryshev D. (A2)
13:07, 2 - 4, Belyayev A. (G), Rubtsov G. (A), Filin Y. (A2)
17:06, 2 - 5, Keane J. (G), Filin Y. (A),

Preview

Spartak is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lada won 0.

Lada has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Spartak is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Spartak may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Spartak is the team to beat.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Lada won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 33:50. (average 2.4:3.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Lada won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:21. (average 2:3.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Spartak Moscow - the odds 1.89 are the expected chance of winning is 51.34%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Lada Togliatti
KHL
07.03.26	Lada Togliatti - Spartak Moscow	1:7 ✺
03.03.26	Lada Togliatti - Ak Bars Kazan	5:3 ✺
01.03.26	Lada Togliatti - Shanghai Dragons	1:2 ✺
25.02.26	Ak Bars Kazan - Lada Togliatti	4:5 penalties ✺
23.02.26	Traktor Chelyabinsk - Lada Togliatti	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.1 LWLWL
- HC Spartak Moscow
KHL
07.03.26	Lada Togliatti - Spartak Moscow	1:7 ✺
02.03.26	Spartak Moscow - Avangard Omsk	1:4 ✺
28.02.26	Spartak Moscow - Barys Astana	5:3 ✺
26.02.26	Spartak Moscow - Admiral Vladivostok	6:3 ✺
22.02.26	Salavat Yulaev Ufa - Spartak Moscow	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

KHL
07.03.26	Lada Togliatti - Spartak Moscow	1:7
28.01.26	Spartak Moscow - Lada Togliatti	6:2
29.11.25	Spartak Moscow - Lada Togliatti	5:4
23.03.25	Spartak Moscow - Lada Togliatti	3:2 OT
12.03.25	Lada Togliatti - Spartak Moscow	2:4
18.11.23	Spartak Moscow - Lada Togliatti	5:3
11.11.23	Lada Togliatti - Spartak Moscow	4:3 penalties

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