Match Info

KHL

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Megasport Arena (Moscow) 🌤️ ...


	Spartak Moscow		Sochi

	1	X	2
	1.46	4.51	5.09
	1.41	5.23	6.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.48)	4.87 ↓ (5.1)	5.99 ↓ (6.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spartak Moscow
65.2%

Draw
19.2%

Sochi
15.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

65.5%

19%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.3%

19.1%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartak Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Sochi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Sochi aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Spartak Moscow - Sochi Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Spartak will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Sochi will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 5.5 - under (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
70. Nikolayev D. (G)	44. Shchetilin A. (G)
4. Keane J.	22. Hoefenmayer N.
94. Mironov A. (C)	11. Volkov A. (A)
28. Pashin A.	43. Verba M.
95. Rubtsov G. (A)	98. Shvyryov I.
35. Korostelev N.	25. Dedunov P. (C)
Line 2
48. Jaros C.	4. Berezin M.
62. Orlov D.	12. Lee C.
21. Ruzicka A.	34. Popov S.
13. Maltsev M.	87. Khafizov T.
29. Todd N.	13. Tyanulin A.
Line 3
33. Sobolev D.	51. Sushko I.
55. Vishnevsky D. (A)	74. Orlov M.
6. Ryabov I.	41. Bitten W.
20. Lockhart L.	77. Guskov M.
59. Kuzmin G.	97. Seroukh D. (A)
Line 4
76. Lukyantsev S.	5. Sapozhnikov A.
98. Belyayev A.	78. Polyakov N.
47. Usmanov D.	24. Bikmullin R.
16. Pivchulin D.	9. Vengryzhanovsky D.
Substitutes
50. Zagidulin A. (G)	56. Avramov F.
	20. Tretiak M. (G)
Coaches
. Zhamnov A.	. Krikunov V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 2)
06:17, 0 - 1, Vengryzhanovsky D. (G), Bikmullin R. (A), Polyakov N. (A2)
12:02, Polyakov N. (2 min),
13:19, 1 - 1, Todd N. (G), Keane J. (A), Maltsev M. (A2)
14:28, 2 - 1, Pivchulin D. (G), Belyayev A. (A), Usmanov D. (A2)
15:15, Hoefenmayer N. (2 min),
19:44, 2 - 2, Orlov M. (G),
2nd Period (2 - 1)
04:34, 3 - 2, Lockhart L. (G), Keane J. (A), Ryabov I. (A2)
07:33, Keane J. (2 min),
09:47, 4 - 2, Maltsev M. (G), Lockhart L. (A), Keane J. (A2)
17:10, Jaros C. (2 min),
18:54, 4 - 3, Bikmullin R. (G), Seroukh D. (A), Lee C. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
06:55, Hoefenmayer N. (2 min),
07:45, 5 - 3, Todd N. (G), Keane J. (A), Maltsev M. (A2)
09:16, Jaros C. (2 min),
12:27, Avramov F. (2 min),
17:07, (2 min),

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spartak won 4.

Recent performances by Spartak have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sochi has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Sochi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Spartak is the clear favorite.

We predict that Spartak will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Spartak won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 62:37. (average 3.1:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Spartak won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:21. (average 3:2.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Sochi - the odds 6.27 are the expected chance of winning is 15.47%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Spartak Moscow
KHL
23.10.25	Spartak Moscow - Dynamo Moscow	0:5 ✺
21.10.25	Spartak Moscow - Shanghai Dragons	7:6 penalties ✺
17.10.25	Admiral Vladivostok - Spartak Moscow	3:4 penalties ✺
15.10.25	Amur Khabarovsk - Spartak Moscow	4:3 ✺
10.10.25	Spartak Moscow - Salavat Yulaev Ufa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWWLW
- HC Sochi
KHL
24.10.25	SKA Saint Petersburg - Sochi	8:1 ✺
22.10.25	Sochi - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	1:3 ✺
17.10.25	Sochi - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	2:3 OT ✺
09.10.25	Severstal Cherepovets - Sochi	3:0 ✺
07.10.25	Lada Togliatti - Sochi	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

KHL
07.09.25	Spartak Moscow - Sochi	4:3
20.03.25	Spartak Moscow - Sochi	3:1
04.11.24	Sochi - Spartak Moscow	1:3
02.11.24	Sochi - Spartak Moscow	0:4
07.09.24	Spartak Moscow - Sochi	1:2 penalties
07.12.23	Spartak Moscow - Sochi	4:3
18.10.23	Sochi - Spartak Moscow	1:3

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